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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    WB 21Z SREF.....I will take either one.
  2. Weather Will
    Fog and drizzle have kept temps down at home. Noticeable change in train ride home from DC as I traveled 50 plus miles NW.
  3. Weather Will
    WB 20Z HRRR, solid!
  4. Weather Will
    20Z HRRR is a little slower with changeover, noise or trend who knows. 5am compared to last run.
  5. Weather Will
    That is still ok. In short term need to see if actual temps are in line with forecasted temps at the surface in line with the snowiest models. Red flag if actual temps are warmer.
  6. Weather Will
    High temps are cooler than forecasted. 19Z HRRR has 47-48 degrees at 3pm. Actual 43 in Brunswick.
  7. Weather Will
    No....0ne noticed the Winter Storm Watch for west and north? Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford- 957 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations around 5 inches are possible. * WHERE...Frederick MD, Carroll, Northern Baltimore and Northwest Harford Counties. * WHEN...From late tonight through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain is expected to change to snow between 5 AM and 7 AM. Snow may be heavy at times, with rates of up to 1 inch per hour through mid morning Tuesday. Visibility may be reduced to less than one half mile at times. The combination of wet snow and gusty winds could lead to downed trees and power lines, resulting in isolated power outages.
  8. Weather Will
    No
  9. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GFS ticks further south....(comparing to 0Z).
  10. Weather Will
    WB 6Z 12K NAM, can it score the coup?????
  11. Weather Will
    New Nino, instead of snowing in the south it snows in New England.
  12. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GEFS, lows ticked closer to coast....
  13. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GFS, congrats New England, epic period for them...
  14. Weather Will
    Latest from NWS for the upcoming Pres. weekend, 30% is bullish a week out. Uncertainty lies amongst the models for the upcoming weekend. On Saturday a cold front will sit near the region with an area of low pressure developing along the Gulf/southern U.S. The placement of the front and track of the low has yet to be resolved along with the placement of high pressure over eastern Canada. Temperatures will be cooler as a result with highs in the 30s and 40s. Given model uncertainty in regards to the track and placement of the aforementioned features a wide array of precipitation types are possible. We`ll continue to monitor this system as it evolves in the coming days. Saturday A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
  15. Weather Will
    I hope there is something to track by next weekend. One 6 plus inch storm would definitely lighten the mood in here....
  16. Weather Will
    WB CAN at Day 9, pattern is chaotic, just too soon to tell....
  17. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GFS, President's Day weekend blizzard.
  18. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GFS, snow on snow in Northern PA this week.
  19. Weather Will
    WB 18Z EURO if it makes you feel better, Philly and NY city not getting much either.
  20. Weather Will
    Slight differences between WB 12Z GFS and EURO at Day 9 plus...
  21. Weather Will
    If the MJO does end up being more JMA like it should then trend colder for later next week, no idea if it will be stormy.
  22. Weather Will
    JB says hug the JMA MJO and arctic air will come east later next week....
  23. Weather Will
    Article in the Washington Post yesterday that latest studies show the Gulf Stream may collapse due to fresh water glacial melt sooner than previously thought, like within a few years. Could cool things off over 30 degrees...mini ice age. Maybe that will kill the SER.
  24. Weather Will
    A simple way to keep your sanity at this point is just to look at the EURO global for discrete threats in 5 day increments. It really helps to keep my expectations in check. It is not going to snow this upcoming work week. It was always a stretch to think VD storm would be cold enough and it won't be. Will it snow PD weekend, or beyond, TBD. Not inside 5 days yet.
  25. Weather Will
    WB 6Z 12K NAM
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