Weather Will

WB 6Z GFS Christmas miracle is back…

WB 6Z GFS low still to track…

Early morning update from Sterling NWS… Beyond Sunday, forecast becomes far too uncertain to get too far into details. However, there does appear to be a chance for a coastal low pressure system nearby early next week with some cold air potentially lingering in portions of the area. This pattern would generally lend itself to wintry precip potential primarily being over the higher elevations, but will have to evaluate further as the threat comes closer into focus. For now, have some mention of rain/snow on Monday. Exact timing is also subject to change of course as guidance picks up on this potential system. For now this system just needs to be monitored for future updates.

WB 0Z EPS…45 please

WB OZ EURO, nice jog toward GFS, BELIEVE…. Long time since I have woken up for the EURO and not been depressed….

WB OZ Can big shift this run toward GFS solution…BELIEVE…if only for 6 hours,

WB OZ GFS….BELIEVE…if only for 6 hours,

WB 12Z GEFS

Models can’t figure out if it is going to snow 3 days out…I like the percentage maps in the long range simply because it gives someone like me who is not an expert a feel for whether we are going into a favorable period or not…

Do you have the 1 inch map?

0% chances over the next week or so…But 18Z GEFS has hits after that through Christmas.

If it goes above 20 percent, will post an updated map. EURO ensembles also in 10-20 percent range.

WB 12Z GEFS thru Christmas.

WB 6Z GEFS through Christmas…like the couple of big hits to our south at this range.

Christmas week miracle still possible….WB 6Z GFS…

You mean verifying like the Cowboys beating Washington this weekend?

WB 6Z GFS much different than overnight run….has our Christmas miracle storm….

Enjoyed reading the analysis above, but don’t see any cold air through Christmas on the latest ensemble runs to suppress any potential storms. Hopefully we will see some cold air in range over the next week or so on the ensembles, I will be turning the hose back on and watering on Saturday. Seems like the news right now is we are in a drought.

Light snow flurries in Brunswick

WB 0Z NAM is a disaster…GN

WB 18Z GFS

WB 18Z NAM. Lock it in!!! I did not see anyone post it.

It probably will be right since I rescheduled something for Wed.

What is the FV3 on TT? Is that the new NAM? It shows some snow on Wed. At 12Z.

The euro is not a short range model I know that but as we get inside 48 hours today, can anyone point to any significant storm where the NAM and EURO had no precipitation???