Weather Will

I saw pages commenting on the EURO extended control snow maps, here is the latest....WB

Where was the Advisory early this am?????? Crazy that NWS just issued this for Frederick. 1029 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in areas of dense fog. * WHERE...Frederick MD, Carroll, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Montgomery, Northwest Howard and Northwest Harford Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

I don't think this amounts to much of anything for DMV, but as I said in an earlier post, it is nice to see that cold air is not too far away during our lull.

WB Day 11 GFS.... parade of storms with temps cooling ahead of schedule.... buckle up!!!!!

Patchy very dense fog on my trip to train station in Brunswick. Surprised no dense fog advisory for my area.

WB 6Z GFS...

WB 0Z GEFS, nice to see the continent cooling by the 9th.

WB 6Z GFS, always a good sign to see a little snow in the middle of our two week lull (Day 5-6).

According to DC NBC4, first time in 6 years that winter period has 9 days in a row of below normal temps.

WB EURO weeklies are less cold for Feb. 10-17 compared to 2 weeks ago, hopefully still cold enough.

WB 12Z EPS looks predominantly warm through February 6 at this time. Hopefully the few colder members will verify.

Yup...or maybe the low intensifies off the coast faster and makes it just cold enough, there is nothing else to watch the next week so I will keep an eye on it....better than whining about the warmth etc....

WB 0Z EPS, still watching Sunday-Monday period...

WB 18Z GEFS. Still keeping an eye on late next weekend...not dead yet...

I am going to remain optimistic for February. Looking at the GFS on the 6th, it may be above normal in Canada, but cold enough....edited to add WB 6Z GEFS.

Latest WB 12Z CFS; 5 day period ending February 11 is below average and it stays below average through March 5.

WB 12Z GEFS, still watching the 30th...

Final burst of accumulating snow pushing through. What a nice wintry week!

WB 12Z EPS, centered a day or two before and after February 1 there may be a small window of opportunity with temps near to below normal and a trough in the East.

WB 0Z 3K NAM

Sterling NWS in their discussion to be fair said low confidence but warning level snow possible. Being a govt employee I can tell you there is probably a metric that if they put up a Winter Storm Watch they have to have a certain confidence level and they are graded on the success rate of their watches. Being next to headquarters where all the bigwigs are makes it even harder for them.

Exactly where the narrow band sets up TBD, but great to see the HRRR trending wetter. 0Z compared to 18Z. WB

This is great, we CAN still have moderate cold, snowy events!!!!!

WB 12Z EPS teleconnections look like they are heading the right way as we approach early February:

9 degrees waiting for the early train to DC in Brunswick....