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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. closest approach judging from the CMC website is about 50-75 miles off obx?
  2. They're both a nice chunk in the right direction... abscond!
  3. It’s interesting that anecdotally the GFS has been taking the EURO’s lunch money this month with these scores.
  4. I love it when the most likely outcome still isn’t likely. “My forecast is for 1-3”, but there’s a 54% chance I’m wrong”
  5. Can really see the trend to more phasing and a deeper dig here...Hoping to see the same on the GFS
  6. I agree that the difference is more apparent at the upper levels, but even at the surface you can see the LP is a bit stronger and holds on longer before being shot OTS vs 18Z.
  7. You guys are giving up on the run so soon lol. I see a pretty big shift at h5 hr 81.
  8. DCA probably going to break through 22F tonight… wonder if this streak is still alive?
  9. Someone correct me if I’m wrong, but I’m pretty sure snowfall maps are made with mean at the very end. This is why you’ll sometimes see a mean of 1” snowfall when 1 member has a blizzard but the others have 45 degrees and sunny.
  10. Holy crap they finally used the bottom right corner of the matrix! Day made.
  11. @Eskimo Joe I love the “relatively on track for now” relatable…
  12. I feel like I'm close to the oven for a lot of storms...
  13. Taking this to banter, but can anyone explain or justify this man’s maps? Why are they habitually very bullish and (perhaps more importantly) why does his constituency not skewer him for constantly busting? Maybe it’s just MBY, but I usually see 2” less than is on these things. I just don’t get it.
  14. FCPS said this: Across Fairfax County, we continue to receive reports of roadways, sidewalks and pathways that remain unsafe for our students.
  15. NOHRSC seems to be on the fritz. Looked accurate last night but now makes no sense…
  16. Does anyone know the most effective path to local NWS & spotter totals on the LWX site? I know it exists somewhere and I want to bookmark it.
  17. Power is flickering here in Fairfax, but I’ve just passed 9”!
  18. Yeah the radar looks like an exit is coming soon for us all.
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