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largetornado

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Everything posted by largetornado

  1. largetornado
    Can’t believe I’m taking a day off tomorrow. Warm sector has virtually no chance of activity and LCLs are around 850....
  2. largetornado
    Sounding from near Danville, IL. Directional shear not terrible, but could be better.
  3. largetornado
    18z nam and nam 3km both bring better moisture. I think question of warm sector activity comes down to sunshine. Right now, simulated IR is cloudy for most of the day.
  4. largetornado
    Is it me or are these storms not moving east at all. Seems like the line has stalled and is just training. Would allow more time to destablize to the east...
  5. largetornado
    Surprised by no upgrade to moderate.
  6. largetornado
    Latest HRRR is handling the clearing well. Oddly, it doesnt destabilize much though. ~500 cape. Obviously enough for today, but I would have thought clearing would push to 750+
  7. largetornado
    And the hail threat was “low.” Also concerned about sunshine along the Ohio river with a developing CU field
  8. largetornado
    With 600-800 effective SRH, any cloud breaks and destabilization will greatly increase tor threat. Watch out for the sun.
  9. largetornado
    80/50 Tornado watch for Indiana/Ky/Ohio
  10. largetornado
    Currently, effective helicity is 350-400 in the tornado warned storm region. Forecast to hit 600-700. With 500 -1000 cape, thats more than enough.
  11. largetornado
    Third storm just went tornado warned
  12. largetornado
    First tornado warning of the day
  13. largetornado
    1777 tornadoes with the first high risk coming on April 23rd in central illinois
  14. largetornado
    Thought you all might be interested in some chase stats. 2018 was a long year. 8972 miles. 5 tornadoes (1 in February and 4 in December). Got some pretty cool shots in the plains. For how bad 2018 sucked, I had a decent year.
  15. largetornado
    FWIW, there may be the *potential* for some severe around 12/27. GFS has been fairly consistent and the EURO has a similar low as well. Obviously pretty far out still but the D7/8 period looks somewhat intriguing. SPC D4-8 Outlook.
  16. largetornado
    .Thanks. was actually a screen grab from an iphone video. my gps tracker put me about 3 miles wsw from maroa. On a side note, I wrote a program that logs all my gps points on a 1 second interval. Pretty handy for post analysis.
  17. largetornado
    It’s my pic from a 15 second video I shot. Time stamp of video 6:35. Official time was 6:31-6:33
  18. largetornado
    Shitty screen grab but the Moroa tornado was big . 320 yards according to NWS Lincoln
  19. largetornado
    NWS Lincoln as well as spotters did a phenomenal job Saturday. Nearly every tornado report has verified and no loss of life
  20. largetornado
    I was on this. Jives with the power flash I reported. Also saw what I thought was a tornado.
  21. largetornado
    NWS Lincoln confirmed 4 more in McLean county. total is now 22 with surveys on going. Now the largest December outbreak in Illinois history.
  22. largetornado
    https://twitter.com/ginger_zee/status/1069571206758760448?s=21 15 confirmed per Ginger zee
  23. largetornado
    Whats the beam height?
  24. largetornado
    I think the slight risk for tomorrow needs to be expanded east. SE Indiana is looking very interesting.
  25. largetornado
    there *might* be a chance for some severe north of i80 Sunday (Michigan)
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