Malacka11

What was your snow total?

I'll go D here. What really broke me early this winter is that it felt like several of our chances were real chances, until suddenly they weren't. The hype train had definitely left the station at least a couple times only to get accidentally routed into a siding. I guess it's cool that we had even two weeks of real winter, but it was hard to enjoy it in the shadow of what could've been.

Isn't it largely due to melting/compaction?

Hope you guys get the goods. Certainly looks like a memorable time.

As long as it doesn't actually damage anything for the rest of the season but yeah that's tough for sure

Banking on the NAM for some ~GV around here at sunset. That'd be a great. Also planning to take a trip to Central Indiana tomorrow coincidentally to pick up a salvaged fender to replace the one that I got crushed by a tornado last April. It'd be nice to at least catch some cool clouds on the way back, let alone any noteworthy severe threat to navigate through.

You know that point in spring where the green is subliminally taking the forest over? Like you look around and everything is still mostly brown but the green is just seeping in anyway when you stare long enough? Can't believe we're there already

Whoops, looks like that was LOT. Completely failed to notice that somehow

I hope this isn't a silly question to ask, but what does it mean if there's a lot of red or whatever but not green? Like a one-sided velocity signature, I guess you could say? Does that mean rotation is breaking down or something?

That's one wacky looking velocity signature or is it just me

That's so interesting. You could literally see how the clouds were rotating slightly and lifting upwards as they thinned out.

Started out with a full deck of low and extremely quick moving clouds but we're almost fully sunny now here too

They said a transplant is likely necessary. If you know any willing donors please put me on with em

Still haven't grown my balls back since my "incident" but might not have to do a lot of chasing if shit develops practically overhead. That said, I swore to myself after my last excursion that I wouldn't pursue anything ever again in non-rural conditions so we'll see.

Just had the first fly of the year land on my head. New February record just dropped guys

Droughts aside, I'd love some heat. Let's turn lake Michigan into a pool in June

Congrats homie, that's awesome!

Isn't there definitely an unwarned nader or potential for one on that cell north of Peoria

Bout to thread some major needle up in this bih

I get that the average Joe might not really remember it just for amounts but imo weenies should think back fondly simply for the impressively good trends up until start time. I can really only recall like one other event IMBY since (the 10.X" of concrete we got in early February 2021) that kept looking better and better up to h0, or at least not worse.

I forgot to ask the other day... Isn't president's day the 19th?

I can already feel my sack shriveling

Long Range Pattern February 10th Onward: While the first 9-10 days of February may be one of the warmest if not the warmest on record, a mid month pattern change after February 10th to a colder (seasonable or colder) and at least somewhat active pattern is favored. The passage of the aforementioned cold front toward the end of next week will be the first signs of the impending pattern change. Toward and after Valentine`s Day, mid and upper level ridging will develop and establish itself near the west coast and extend up to or just north of Alaska. The western ridging is known as a +PNA (positive Pacific North American) teleconnections pattern, and the ridging near Alaska is known as a -EPO (negative East Pacific Oscillation). In response to the upstream mid and upper level ridging (think a rise or bump in the jet stream), downstream troughing (think of a dip or buckle in the jet stream) will develop and establish over central and eastern North America. Meanwhile, high latitude blocking in the Arctic and North Atlantic (generally near Greenland) is expected to develop, leading to a -AO (negative Arctic Oscillation) and -NAO (negative North Atlantic Oscillation) teleconnections. As troughing develops across the central and eastern US and ridging manifests to the west and over Greenland, a seasonably cold air mass from interior Canada should discharge into the Midwest and potentially get "locked" in place. Meanwhile, depending on the exact positioning and amplitude of western ridging, an active El Nino subtropical jet (STJ) may continue to cut underneath the ridging and feature associated disturbances tracking eastward toward the Lower Great Lakes. Taken together, the return of seasonably cold or colder air masses should bring an attendant return of more regular occurrences of precipitation to the general region, including the wintry variety, toward and during the 2nd half of February. Stay tuned! Castro

Guess we're gonna have to thread that needle