Malacka11

Like I said in the other thread, idc about getting missed just don't let something crucial break down four days out and the whole storm vanishes overnight again or some shit.

The fact of the matter is Palm hoe was the equivalent of going on a BMW forum and then posting exclusively about how bimmers suck and everyone should buy a Miat. Yes, it's a valid stance, but fuck off with it to Reddit or something and stop invading the two square inches of internet space that we use to foam out over clouds. Warm winter weather is still weather but let's be fr we're all 80% here and primarily active in the winter because we want big snows. Bitch boy used that to excrete as much rage-bait-lite as possible because, I imagine, of some sort of psychological damage he sustained IRL. It's still not clear to me why he suddenly vanished -I imagine somebody mentioned it to the admins and they finally did something- but it's the best thing that has happened to the enjoyability of this forum in as long as I've been here for sure.

As in that's something to look out for or a solution you consider to be unlikely?

Don't care if it's a miss locally but if this storm goes poof you will see me on the news

Good one lol. Sarcasm aside I really do think this thread should be met-led. Don't want to sound like I'm jumping the gun but we only get so many of these chances and I think we should make it a point to let someone who actually knows what's up decide when the time is right

Alek how about you start the thread when we get to that point

I think we should elect a thread starter beforehand so that it's all official if we actually get that far, and I think it should be one of the wizards that have been dropping all the knowledge in here lately

Per LOT extended range courtesy our very own: Looking out beyond day 7, for multiple model cycles in a row, the ensemble means have consistently depicted the ejection of an anomalously deep western trough into the Midwest. The pieces could thus come together to support a strong synoptic system affecting the region (irrespective of precip. types) early in the first full work week of January. Medium-long range ensemble guidance also has been consistent in an active and colder pattern continuing through mid January, so there may eventually be some bonafide winter weather threats to track. Stay tuned. Castro

You nerds ready to suffer some more emotional damage cause it's coming

That actually sounds like a total blast, I'm terribly at bocce sadly

Maybe I'm silly but if it isn't gonna be snowy, I think gloomy is the next best Christmas weather. Keeps some of the coziness alive. Every other week the depression weather can piss off though

I don't get how it's so challenging to figure out a new mod that we all trust who'll delete his ass. It's not like we don't have options, and surely there's some way to reach the upper admins.

Happen to be any historic big dogs in the Midwest that year?

That really was a one of a kind experience you earned yourself that day. I'd sign up with you if I weren't perpetually broke. I still need to replace the fender that my lil tornado incident cost me... at least all the glass and the side mirror has been long done. Need to paint the mirror though, it's gray to the rest of the shitbox's white

Just our pride that gets hurt methinks

It seems basically to be an AI composite of weather data/other models which is interesting, because that's more or less what I considered normal weather models to be already. Kind of cool if it actually works well which I don't see how it would be a downgrade in any way.

I think this is good plan, having a "rule" will help with the urge to start a thread the second it feels semi plausible for an event to occur. My issue is that the thought of not starting a thread early enough for an event that does happen gives me anxiety

I feel like the Euro was almost worse this time around no? Wasn't it the only OP to have a proper big dog? Only to trend to turd FROPA in less than a day too?

Continuing my trend of obnoxious optimism... At least it happened now and not on the 23rd.

euro more like you're a ho

Even if it's a tease we usually don't even get one of those for a while still

I like our placement between models but as always now, I fear a one-run transition to an event with a much lower ceiling. Question: why is it that, for example, the 06z GFS offered a pretty bland storm while the 06z GEFS was pretty crazy with the vast majority of members with a storm depicting a much more impressive event than the OP?

Yeah, that's what I assumed you meant too. Regardless of quantity, that amount of snow accounting for initial melt has to mean that it was coming down pretty hard for a time.

Correct me if I'm wrong but I feel like once we get into the medium range, the models have gotten a lot more consistent at showing the same changes in thinking simultaneously, even if they're not necessarily correct. Like with next weekend's potential, all of the models have exhibited a dramatic changeup in the last 18 hours but they're doing it together, for better or worse. There hasn't been nearly as much "catching up" ya know?

In all honesty my point of memery was just heavy snow rates vs heavy snow totals: I thought we were talking more about the former than the latter lol. Nickel and dimeing gets me hyped when there's potential for some stacking or if it's actually setting the mood for the holidays/birthdays/in general if I'm feeling it. Other than that it's not crazy to me.