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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    To be honest, IMO, the UKMET has usually been off in its own little world this winter. I still can't tell if the one I post the precip maps from (F5 wx's UKMET that goes out to hr 168) is any different. The visuals pivotal and F5 create for their respective versions of the UKMET data are so different, that it's hard to tell.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    New v 16 GFS looks good my buddy in Oklahoma, lol: only through day 10
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    The other extended UKMET won't be out until around 130, but looks like it might hit western areas with another snow.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    UKMET still likes BNA west for snow with the early week system:
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Crocuses and daffodils are coming up, here on the plateau.
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Come on perturbed member #9
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    I hope y'all don't get so much ice, but it sadly looks like someone in our region is going to. I do think (hope) there is still time for a snowier solution for BNA west, though.
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    In other news this morning, the GFS 16 has once again abandoned us for a time I'm ready for whatever wildness the NAM will bring over the next few days when it gets the bigger storm early next week into some of its runs.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Th extended part of the UKMET brings yet another storm with ice over middle TN, after 144:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    More cold press?
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    New areas in the Warning/ Advisory for TN/ SW VA? MRX mentioned Claiborne/ Campbell/ Scott in the PM AFD and Wise, but wasn't sure if they were under any product this AM
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    12km NAM coming in SE with the ice again.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here's the H5 evolution (vort panels aren't loading for some reason):
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    and that's exactly where it runs the LP:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Not the sight I was hoping for (but still out to hour 138), but still noteworthy for its ice depcition:
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think the 10km UKMET is going to be a sight to behold when it finishes its run out to hr 168, lol. Here's how it looks at hr 120:
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Another thing to consider, that I've been kicking around in my mind, is the Momentum that's being added to the Polar regions right now (see: Does that aded momentum help push the energy that causes the storm east more quickly (forces it further south and east in its ultimate evolution?), or is the that momentum added too far north to do anything except for the big TPV?
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like Miller B on the second one too, at least on this run:
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Look at how the HP breaks as the storm attacks: What's to say the high wouldn't break the other way and the storm run up the coast? Sure there's no 50/50 to lock the HP in, but we've seen bigger shifts at 5 days out this winter.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Stole this from southern wx. Run to run temp change on the Euro:
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think the next one is going to be a hit for someone in the area (hedges bets and hides)
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    The next piece of energy is going to have a better chance on this run, if it can amplify.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here's the evolution in terms of precip:
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here's what we end up with: the main energy just runs too far north:
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    I mean, this looks like it should end well...
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