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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    I can never remember how to get to the CPC site for that. I'll try to figure it out again because I keep meaning to.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    SOI had a big drop recently after be positive for most of the past month Some say that portends a southern stream storm in 2-3 weeks, others are skeptical. Good convection near the dateline too: Strat still looks to get split in early to mid Feb.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Getting what I call Ridley Scott snow this morning. High ration powder just floating around like atmospheric fiberglas in a Ridley Scot film.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    csnavy, a met in the MA forum, had a good/ funny approach for managing expectations regarding models each day this week: In other words, if we are in the bullseye on Friday, we should feel free to do whatever Vince is doing above.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yep, I agree with you and Chattownsnow. Can something this wound up actually get this far south?
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    This is the worry.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    What the Euro is spitting out is extremely anomalous. I don't think I've seen a cutoff with this wrapped up at our latitude since I've been watching weather...let's say...enthusiastically enough to participate. Some observations though: Only 30+ hours later the situation has chnanged a lot: what is now essentially a TPV vort says: "TPV eat shortwaves!!! YUM!!!!!" But look at this, hour 126: That's so wild I'm not really sure what options are on the table.
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    I was typing all that mess out when tnweathernut responded, so I will get that gif too: 500 mb trend N. America Run to run changes:
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Remember, as a weather weenie, the most important thing you can do is to not talk to people about this at all, or as little as possible. "But they know I'm love weather," you might say! If they ask, you don't have to lie, you can look grumpy and say "Well, you saw what happened with the last one, didn't you??" Yes, I know how that makes me sound and yes I am that superstitious about snow. There is some method to this. East TN is a hard place to forecast for and as we saw, you do not want to be in the bullseye 4-5 days out. Using the Holston deflection method, it is acceptable to say to loved ones and friends when they ask "Is is going to snow?" "Yeah........... in North Carolina and Virginia." And to make this less weird, here are some gifs:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Excellent! this was what I had seen so I feel a little bad I didn’t double check on which level you had to pay for https://imgur.com/a/xKneP92
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    I’ll get the hobby level this Wednesday (payday) and I guess we’ll see.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Thats actually a good question. I’ve seen griteater post it on southernwx, and assumed it was available, but it could be only in the commercial level.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    We dare.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Hot dang, there's some non upslope CAA stuff holding together in radar... Higher res local imagery:
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    The WesatherNext2 has it too, at about the same amount of suppression.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    18z Euro has found the upcoming weekend system again: Euro AI has it too:
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'm getting some super fine pixie dust snow right now.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    North wind picking up here in southern Morgan county. Front has arrived at the edge of the plateau. Most of my ice is gone from power lines and trees thankfully
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Storm vista models. 20 bucks a month for the usually models too, but they generally populate model frames the quickest. Not quick enough to be worth 20 a month on top of weatherbell usually. I might do it next month for one month to see how weathernext does though.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah, I wish there was a way to get its data outside of Storm Vista.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    Now we flood:
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    HRRR seems to be playing catch up with temps. NAM 3km seems to be doing better
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like the HRRR and NAM 3km put the front onto the plateau between 3 and 4pm eastern time.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just thinking the same thing.
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