Oh yeah, oh yeah, ya gotta believe:
And there's at least one, count em one, EPS member, that shows at last 2 inches of snow in Middle TN, so Lock. It. In.
Happy we're back to fantasy storm season
My neighbor's rain gauge/ weather station went out, so no clue how much more rain we got here. Zeta was booking it though, so probably not as much as yesterday.
It was from the 26th, but I went back and looked and didn't see much more than a little line of showers:
I guess they could have been convective, but still such a weird/ cool cloud pattern.
I wasn't really looking forward to the rain, but now the season stream in my front yard is roaring again, lol. My wife and I dug it out and landscaped in and around it, so I'm happy it's back. My larger dog (TROWAL dog) may have flopped in the deeper section of it and gotten pinched by a crawdad!
Nearby weather station is up to 2.5 inches, we may hit 4 before it's all over
Didn't we watch this same pattern show back in early September? We thought we were getting a front through and CO ended up with a big early season snow. But after that, fronts did start to make it through again. And hey, we've had some pretty good blocking for at least the first half of the month. Maybe we have just a normal crappy La Nina this year and not and Epic Crappy La Nina?
O ho ho, fantasy storm on the 6z GFS:
Annnddddd look what happens if you suspend disbelief and pick the best ratio:
What's the Euro going for at that time (doesn't quite go out that far) you might ask...
Will we have the perfunctory Halloween-La Nina snow to accompany Jeff's Halloween cold front?
The end of the 6z run this AM looking pretty nippy too. Snow showers and low 20s for higher elevations. Almost time to start looking at 50 EPS members for true weenie runs, lol.
It completely died before it made it to my place in Morgan County; I didn't even see a drop of rain. Some nice wind gusts as what was left came through, but that was it.
This convective system looks pretty healthy to me, compared to the CAMs anyway:
Good and sunny upstream too, between it and me, although beyond that I'm not too good at ready the mesoscale analysis pages for severe/ strong storm parameters.
To me it looks like it will make a nice charge Paris -> Nashville -> Crossville -> Knoxville