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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'll check back in on it about 5
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    That's my official measuring device.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    I 40 looks like it is a disaster from just before Kingston to Crossvile
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Dog pic:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    There's got to be a happy median somewhere between me and the foothills. I'm getting pixie dust fringed wrt flake size. I guess i could have worse problems.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    I don't know it's been such a mess on modeling. Of all the globals I think the GFS did best. NAM played catch up with the precip. axis, but has done pretty good on amounts, along with the HRRR. I think the RGEM wins again for short range.
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks to me like it is over performing a bit.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Our storm has a STJ (subtropical jet) connection going well out into the Pacific. Not a terribly strong one, but nice to see that active STJ
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Ye olden deck pick:
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Flurries now in southern Morgan county at 1300 feet.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Still nothing at 1300', but my weather station is ready:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Maybe this is a weenie wish casting thing, but maybe it is initializing with somewhat warmer temps than expected. In this particular case the Arctic air is on the doorstep of the valley and it is currently trying to work in. The moisture isn't here yet, so there's still time. It's not like we have 2 hours of precip left right now.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    agreed
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's already got a foot north of Crossville by 21z Monday
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    You've even got a bit of downslope off the Crab Orchard mts indicated there.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some nice radar returns popping in N MS now.
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    The elk scared the ______ out of me one cold morning. It was just before Christmas. At first I thought some idiot had bought one in for a joke, but apparently he decided to come down from the Frozen Head/ Cross Mt area and he just chills out off of Fairview road between Coalfield and Mossy Grove.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    You know, we have an elk who has decided to live about 2 miles from my house. Maybe he knew something.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    I remember seeing some of that in Jan 96. had a layer of ice in the middle of 16 inches of snow.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    This is my first system here where I am almost directly up wind of Frozen Head and Cross mt. I'm wondering how it plays out if that lift sets up just right
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    Maybe, wrt to precip outputs, the model thinks moisture isn't quite making it into the DGZ. I clicked on a sounding on the HRRR in that ZR and it was 10 degrees and sub freezing through the whole profile.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Latest NBM ticked up quite a bit. 4 run trend:
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like the CMC is lining up for a hit too at 12z
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z HRRR: 12z HRRR:
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