HeadInTheClouds

38 and snowing

2 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

The look on the 18Z GFS is pretty horrible, I guess still time to change. 

I wouldn't count on it. When a cutter scenario shows up on both the GFS and Euro it's a red flag. I don't care if it's a week away. 

Welp, next weekend went to shit pretty quick. 

That blocking means business. March could be epic North of I90 and central and Northern NE. I think areas south get some of the goods also including NYC metro. 

1 minute ago, sn0w said:

LMFAO I had to go to weather.com myself to see this...they must just create a text output of the GFS verbatim or something. And you know plenty of people use solely use weather.com and are thinking they are getting a foot of snow tomorrow night

Yes, I think they do. They just changed it back to 5-8 but still ridiculous. NWS Albany just went 1-2 from 2-4. 

50 today. NWS forecast for 1-2 tomorrow night then mixing which is reasonable. Weather channel app has me 8-12 tomorrow night up from 5-8, lol. GFS does have me getting 11 but we know that will not verify. 

7 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

Looks like tomorrow night turning into a classic maybe brief snow/sleet to rain SE of I287, snow to sleet NW of I287.

Yeah, expecting 2-4 inch front end dump up here north of 84 before mixing. It could come down pretty hard for a few hours. 

6 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Agree with Allsnow, great calls all winter and was one of the few that dismissed the "favorable" December pattern when even Forky was on board. 

He also said winter was definitely over since December. 

33 and still snowing pretty good but looks like it's almost over. 

28, steady light snow, 6 inches 

30 with moderate snow, 2.5 OTG. 

35 and light snow

14 minutes ago, Jaguars said:

God bless her but Janice Huff has no clue


.

She's terrible. 

46 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

Pretty awful honestly, it's not a good model but it is a bit concerning multiple models are cutting back this close to the event. 

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmet&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2023022700&fh=66&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

The Ukie is another joke of a model. 

Euro snowfall for next weekend. 

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

But in this case those are good trends..as long as gfs isn't leading the way

Yes, they are good trends. 

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Uh ? 

This is false

Not really. All other models came north and show precip into metro area when before they were OTS. 

I wouldn't be overanalyzing what the shitty Nam shows, especially in it's longer range. 

19 moderate snow, about 1/2 inch

33 with moderate snow. Sticking to colder surfaces. 

Had a high of 58 around noon, now 31.  

14 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Guess I won’t be sleeping for 16 days. 

I wouldn't lose too much sleep. All of that fantasy snow comes in the extended range of the GFS. You probably have a better shot at winning powerball. 

64 here in HV. 

17 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

This is the most surreal winter I have ever lived through. It is actually pretty scary if you pay attention to the ecological signs. We may see record early leaf out this year. Not to mention the continued spread of invasives north. 

I saw a wasp flying around today, lol. 

14 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

nice to see a signal for legit blocking and a 50/50 to boot. even though the system on the ECMWF looks like it's going to torch, all of the entrenched HP over the top keeps us cold and leads to a nice front-end thump. this is something we really haven't seen all winter

the 22-24th remains our first threat of this period, and blocking seems to become more of a factor at the end of the month

CMC and GFS also showing something to watch around the 23rd-24th