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OrdIowPitMsp

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Everything posted by OrdIowPitMsp

  1. The models really had no idea on the evolution of this system. I wonder if it came down to multiple shortwaves rotating through instead of one solid deformation band of snow, which caused the 50% over modeling of precipitation. It’s ripping now but I’m guessing the final storm total will be between 10-12” at the airport if they can get an accurate measurement in this wind.
  2. Hope nobody here is without power for long. I’d take 34 and rain all day over a crippling ice storm.
  3. HRRR still putting down 0.60-0.70” of precipitation here before everything wraps up. That should translate to another 9” or so for a storm total of ~14-15” we’ll see how things shake out.
  4. Storm total of 5.5” as of 6pm. That amounts to 1.4” from round 2. The NWS office was up to 6.5”
  5. We had that last week, 0.87” of rain and never got warmer then 37. Just the worst.
  6. Before and after the main show started earlier this afternoon. Wish I could have stayed on the slopes longer, but I don’t want to chance it with the roads going downhill.
  7. Closing in on an inch imby from the main event. It’s coming down pretty good right now. What part of town are you in? I think 8-10” additional is probably what my side of town will see.
  8. Good powder day at Welch Village ski area. Round 2 is on our doorstep.
  9. Dropped the kid off at my in-laws. I’m going skiing, my local area was in that sweet spot last night and picked up close to 6”
  10. Lol here too, a few blocks east of Lake Nokomis. Wasn’t expecting that, models still spitting out a solid foot here later today.
  11. The 4.1” at the airport came from 0.33” liquid equivalent for a ratio of 12:1 which is lower then guidance. There’s a nice band still impacting Red Wing MN and areas just south of the metro.
  12. 4.1” at the airport as of 6am. Definitely the lower side of guidance but they were calling for 4-8” in this first wave, so not a bust. Really strong banding overnight in the south metro. Shame models are showing a substantial drying trend but we should have know those crazy totals from a couple days ago were unrealistic. I believe the record February snowfall at MSP is only in the 13-14” range so the monthly record is still very much in play.
  13. Eyeballing around 4” here. Lower end of guidance, but still within guidance nonetheless. People will call this a bust because we hit the lower end instead of the upper end. (Same as it ever was) The southern suburbs are doing well. There’s been a band stalled out just south of the Minnesota River for a few hours and I expect numerous 6”+ reports down there. Of course the official obs site at the airport is a few miles north of that…
  14. 1.1” accumulation as of 6pm. Looks like another 2-4” overnight before the main show tomorrow.
  15. I disagree, while it sucks seeing 12-15” instead of 18-22” I want us to crack the top 10 for longest continuous snowcover of 1” or more. #10 is 107 days and we are at 84 days today. Plus still have a shot at the all time seasonal snowfall record. If I was chasing futility maybe I’d have a different outlook.
  16. Snow is underway at my office in west Bloomington.
  17. Dry air always wins, I’ll be happy as long as we exceed 12”
  18. 4 degrees and sunny skies. You’d have no idea a big dog is on its way. This is how those old pioneer storm stories always start.
  19. Looks like a slight drying trend on the overnight models, as they get into more detailed range. There was 2”knocked off my P&C.
  20. I had the pleasure of being in midtown Manhattan during the January 2016 storm. 27.5” at Central Park, 30.5” JFK.
  21. My P&C has been upped to 24.1” No words
  22. FGEN band ends up way south like the GFS is showing and then somehow we get dry slotted or miss out on all the mesoscale features is the only way I see us not hitting totals well over 12”
  23. Minneapolis officially received 1.7” of snow with the clipper this morning. Not sure if the NWS will include that in the official storm total.
  24. Oh it’ll happen, I’m sure of it. There’s been some serious clunkers up here in the last 20 years.
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