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BTRWx's Thanks Giving

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  1. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Hoping the moderate band heading towards D.C. is another burst of snow.
  2. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Snowflakes in Alexandria
  3. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Correction, I was looking at 1z. lol
  4. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    I wasn't going to say anything, but it was finally a hold from the prior run.
  5. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    What do you mean?
  6. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    But also drier unfortunately.
  7. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    0z 3km NAM initialized quite a bit colder. Here is the last three runs.
  8. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    I don't know what to think about it for D.C.
  9. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Qpf trend on hrrr before the flip is not good.
  10. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    We know better.
  11. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    He was the road runner! Tall and thin boned.
  12. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    I just had a coyote run down my street in Alexandria!
  13. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Not everyone
  14. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Right before the changeover.
  15. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Hrrr continues to show very high ratio snowfall overnight. I'll share the snowfall depth after the run finishes.
  16. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Looks like some returns are approaching Fredericksburg.
  17. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    lmao https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2026012418/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_6.png
  18. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The hrrr maps I shared were all snow.
  19. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Fwiw, the 20z hrrr converts .4-.5" qpf to 6-7" snow at the end of its range.
  20. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    My high was right on point. 22F
  21. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Still snowing after 18h.
  22. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    19Z hrrr is juicy, but kind of out of range. I'll just share a link. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr&region=neus&pkg=asnowd&runtime=2026012419&fh=18
  23. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Virga is creeping north quickly, already on lwx radar near Charlottesville.
  24. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    That's the lower resolution NAM.
  25. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    They look pretty similar to me at that hour.
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