BTRWx's Thanks Giving

8 minutes ago, LP08 said:

It’s the only reason we have any chance at all lol.  The high position is not the reason we are flipping and not all snow.  It’s practically ideal.

Our good snowstorms have the high positioned just north of Lake Ontario.  Both 3Km NAM and the 18Z euro don't show that.  KU 101

Just now, Deer Whisperer said:

This run came out 5 hours ago

It has had the best handle on recent storms.

One big difference with the 3km NAM is the positioning of the high. No bueno

The lowering trend for D.C. has begun.

Just now, Ji said:

euro seems much more south with 850 line 

Look at how far south that high is!

This should be a good euro run based on the starting frame of the snow. 

9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Saw a couple of posts about NAM MOS throwing surface temps up above 32 at DCA. It should be noted that it's been a few degrees too warm of late.

Not too warm for D.C.

Just now, EHoffman said:

I got 2007 vibes looking at that GFS run, good stuff.

Great reference

Unfortunately another daytime storm.

Just now, snowfan said:

3k goes straight to sleet for the cities. Warm layer at 700. PA gets the goods for snow.

Wasn't euro tending that way?

2 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Much appreciated 

Just now, LP08 said:

6z EURO.  Basically the same as 0z.

That is a nice qpf stripe really close to D.C. (I won't say imby)

1 minute ago, dukeblue219 said:

When did we add a para Euro? Have I been oblivious to this all winter? Assumed all para discussions were GFS....

There isn't one.

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

What a weenie panel of the GEFS. Snow down to the VA/NC border on a handful of members.

D.C. flush hit on every member!

Just now, clskinsfan said:

Para sucks out here. We toss.

You're all alone.

Was eps bad?

How does the snow mean look?

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

I posted the wrong euro h5 panel in my OP (0z instead of 12z) but it doesnt change the point I was trying to make. Compare today's 12z @ hr60 to a string of previous runs. It's pretty sweet to look at and literally a small miracle we're possibly backing into an ok event here. 

So post the right one.

Just now, Bob Chill said:

If anyone looks at this h5 panel and thinks suppression is even a remote concern, they need to kick themselves square in the nutz 

How on Earth is that snow?

7 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z v 0Z

A lot of wiggle room to the north.

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

You might be a genius.   

You might be right.

Just now, clskinsfan said:

Check out this national snow depth map. Only FL and SC have no snow on the ground somewhere in their state. I dont know if I have ever seen that before. Crazy.

 

GA

Just now, H2O said:

Has anyone had chicken fries?  I just can’t bring myself to eat them

ME

Just now, mappy said:

mmmmm cheddar bay biscuits. 

get to cleaning up the thread, bob. So i dont have to. 

Anything else we aren't doing right today you'd like to tell us? Make a list. 

I never said it wasn't right.

So I guess any discussions are allowed outside storm mode.