BTRWx's Thanks Giving

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

No, I am really that superstitious. 

If you're not, you might not belong here.

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Ok 12z Thursday.  But we'd be going against  @BTRWx's Thanks Giving, who is one of the smartest posters on this board.   You sure you wanna challenge that powerhouse? 

That's the nicest thing someone on the board ever said to me.

Just now, stormtracker said:

All time classic.  Top 5 fave for me.

You're old

1 minute ago, gymengineer said:

Your quote let me see the typo I had in the original post- 2/21/15, not 2005. That’s the event you are referring to as well, I believe. One of the best day-of overperformers of all time. We were staring at the sleet line just not advance on the CC loop while it was hours of  heavier than modeled snow accumulating during peak sun angle hours. 

Snow will accumulate during daylight hours much better if there's just the slightest base formed overnight. I believe that's what happened if I recall.

Just now, stormtracker said:

In all seriousness, was going to make one after the Euro.......tomorrow.   12z tomorrow

Not a good idea

Just now, LP08 said:

12z GEFS mean is another tick south compared to 6z.  These are contaminated with sleet but the max stripe shifted south.  Supports a 3-6” thump to sleet.

That's great to see!

2 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said:

What's the higher odds over 3 inches in DC or under 3 inches in DC on Thursday?

Too soon

Just now, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z para

Didn't that trend north from the prior run?

1 minute ago, Chase said:

I guess what do the next 12 hours look like? Light drizzle and more precipitation to the south should add more accretion, right?  
 

I’m worried we’re calling it over before it’s over. 

It's pretty light already.

1 minute ago, LP08 said:

Sleet and needle flakes.  Vis is dropping off pretty good

I would suggest updating your location. Nobody wants to look up zip codes.

Funny how lighter returns turn to pixie snowflakes.

I don't hear any pings on my window. Maybe tiny graupel is accumulating?

12 minutes ago, feonac130 said:

Pixie dust snow and sleet now in Kingstown/Alexandria.  Neighborhood roads are caving.  

That's impressive! I'm at the lower elevation of Van Dorn and it's just mist.

Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

HRRR keeps precip around til 01z for DC. I think once we hit about 4 or 5 pm this could get nastier.  We’ll see though.  

Every winter system this year has happened during the day. Tough

4 minutes ago, haudidoody said:

90% sleet still in Fairfax. Hopefully the freezing rain stays away... forever.

Still rain freezing on limited surfaces farther east.

Just now, WeatherShak said:

Heading to NC to see wife’s family. Just south of Richmond is a mess trees down everywhere on interstate 85.


.

Wow!

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

Might have to shovel 

Where are you located?

I actually feel like I'm in a pretty good spot for the pre-first wave. Mostly snow now

Just now, H2O said:

It's an observation thread.  No rules were announced.  Chill

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

I'm still trying to figure out why LWX didn't change the forecast to heat advisory and drought conditions yet. Maybe at the 930 update 

Enough with the banter.

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

They filled in the snow hole a bit. This seems like an optimistic map, but I'm not a met!

That's interesting to see.

Does precip starting south mean anything?  I don't remember seeing hrrr showing this.

Just now, snowfan said:

Man, the point on the map for D.C. definitely doesn't depict accurate accumulation for most of the District.

3KM NAM has a nasty dry slot in the middle of it all.

21 minutes ago, Ji said:

We're going to will this SOB back