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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    Yeah honestly as a homeowner the two things I could do without weather wise are freezing rain and high wind events. Both have the potential for true catastrophic effects both physical to the house and personal to our safety.
  2. Thinksnow18
    All graupel here at the office across from the airport. Band has definitely reintensified and looks good on radar. Probably also a bit of a southward dip the last frame...i don't think the band will really truly make it to areas north of the 90 split to Albany
  3. Thinksnow18
    Graupel-sleet mix in Cheektowaga by the airport. Very sharp cutoff to the accums last night. My house is between maple rd and Sheridan Dr in Williamsville and I posted earlier my 3/4" of taint but I drove not even one mile south towards wherle and young and the plows had to come out with close to 3". Interesting.
  4. Thinksnow18
    According to the NWS text it begins in WNY late Thursday night Friday dawn...and FWIW the euro is south along the PA/NY border which could give the area a bit more than forecasted as that is the most desired track for a ribbon of better lift.
  5. Thinksnow18
    I'm guessing that includes the Clipper Thursday night Friday?
  6. Thinksnow18
    Measured about 3/4" of slush.
  7. Thinksnow18
    00z Euro is just as meh.
  8. Thinksnow18
    I was thinking well at least theres the cold blast next week with multiple chances for LES and general snow events...the last 3 runs of the GFS says you have no soup for you...damn snow Nazi...
  9. Thinksnow18
    Well that was a dud.
  10. Thinksnow18
    Appears metro northeast will be under the gun after 2 or 3am. I'm still not ruling out 6 or 8 inches in the areas that are under most stationary part of the band. Think Clarence, east Amherst, east Williamsville, Lancaster.
  11. Thinksnow18
    No but it is telling me that the local Mets really do not have a handle on our weather. Us weenies saw these model outputs more than 24 hours ago and BW mentioned this threat 72 hours ago!
  12. Thinksnow18
    Huh. They thought it would start out as rain and the mix wouldn't happen until midnight...
  13. Thinksnow18
    It appears to have set up further south than forecast...that band was forecasted for the Northtowns...oh well there's thursday night and next week starting Wednesday to look forward to.
  14. Thinksnow18
    That does appear to be some kind of a lake response...but I am concerned that there is absolutely no lake response over lake Michigan. Usually it's a good indicator.
  15. Thinksnow18
    Yeah I suppose that's correct but I'm still having a hard time with the diurnal part of this. Plus the lake water isn't especially warm either to make an impact.
  16. Thinksnow18
    Incredibly the data you just showed with the possibility of 4" or more goes against every model you showed and emulates the NWS forecast. It begs an honest question, what models are they using?
  17. Thinksnow18
    Local Mets are a range of 1-2" in metro to 3 to 4" metro overnight.
  18. Thinksnow18
    Agreed. We're missing something evidently.
  19. Thinksnow18
    But that would only matter diurnally, no? The timestamp of the axis of heavy snow is from 11pm to 5am. I would think it would be easier to cool the column if needed to get all snow.
  20. Thinksnow18
    It's amazing to me that all these models want to give the buffalo metro area anywhere between 3 and 6 inches tomorrow night and Wednesday yet the local Mets and NWS buf say nothing more than a dusting to an inch with marginal temps during the event...
  21. Thinksnow18
    Yes...you will or should I say the traditional snowbelts of upstate NY...the rest of us get to pay the dealer from Vegas vacation 50 bucks to go back into the alley and get kicked in the nuts.
  22. Thinksnow18
    It is kinda interesting how the radar has blossomed in coverage the past few hours on the Niagara Frontier...3 degrees colder and we may have gotten a surprise.
  23. Thinksnow18
    You think? Isn't it supposed to be in the 40's a few times in the next 10 days? Plus the ground really hasn't frozen up but you might be right.
  24. Thinksnow18
    I think alot of it is the RPO's that daboll dials up. It was said during the game on Thanksgiving that the bills are not a traditional run team say like the Titans or Pittsburgh is. That helps Josh a lot with defenses having to stay honest and play any possibility, and around, jet sweeps, qb keeper...that offense keeps you guessing.
  25. Thinksnow18
    Damn that's basically concrete. Im actually kinda glad we didn't get that...
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