RevWarReenactor

Anymore shifts and outer banks could be looking at some fringe effects.

Originally it showed it hitting NJ/NYC and held that idea for a bit. So it caused a good bit of concern. I was on the Jersey beaches when it was closest and the waves were crazy and you could look out and just see black. Cape Cod did got hit a bit from it. From a tracking perspective it was a lot of fun, even if it was essentially a no show.

Saturday: I hope I get 20 inches! Sunday: I hope I get 3-6 inches. Monday: I hope this storm misses Richmond. Tuesday: NAM, can you do me a favor and step yourself outside? You're irritating me.

How to lose 18 inches of snow in 24 hours: A retrospective

The trends have been terrible today, but it wouldn't take much of a shift to bring us right back to yesterday on the Euro. The heavy snows are only 50-100 miles from I-95. Its just going in the wrong direction.

I think if expectations are reset at 3-6 inches. Won't be disappointed. Will still be a nice little storm, and anything more is a bonus.

This had rug pull written all over it. Just based on climo. We get 18-24 foot snowstorms for all of I-95 like once every 20-30 years. The models have been pretty bad this year with drastic shifts at about 100 hours. I never bought any of it.

Latest guidance falls in line with the seasonal trend of everything south and east of the area. Delaware Beaches must be having a record run this year. What will this be the 3rd 12+ storm if this verifies?

Dover to Delaware beaches have consistently done better last decade. Odd that beach areas 100 miles to my south constantly beat I-95. Its been really odd. Its been awhile since we've had a storm where NW crew does good and the southern areas mix/rain.

Ended with 3.3 inches in Newark Delaware. More than I expected. Finally, not a bust. Seems areas just to the south didn't do quite as well. Like Havre De Grace. My guess is around 9pm we held on to that steadier band for a bit longer. Probably made the difference.

Its a mess. Guidance changed about 4 times today. The best was telework for the first 3 hours and then drive into the office. Seriously? They didn't want to put the word "telework" in writing. Which was hilarious. I don't care anymore. Whole thing is childish. Anyway 2.3 here in Newark Delaware. Overperforming. Going to beat Jan 6th easily at this rate. Which makes me happy. Next goal is will they plow (thats anything over 4 inches). I doubt we get there but it might be close.

This is our first RTO week. Telework revoked totally. No ad hoc. So now they are shooting themselves in the foot with this snow. Its funny. HRRR looks better. Im happy.

Yep. We go mid 30's tomorrow. Light precip. Anything falling before sunset won't stick to the streets, and will barely stick to the grass. We might start to get road stickage by nightfall but at that point how much precip have we burned off? Maybe the streets will get a dusting, that will melt off as soon as the snow stops. Thats my forecast anyway.

Not to be pessimistic, but we onlt got 2.4 here from the Jan 6th storm. This looks like a weaker of version of that, and in the last 10 years the best bet for this location is take NWS forecast and divide by 2. I am thinking 1-2 inches. Grassy surfaces only Baltimore/DC will do better. Maybe 3-4 inches there.

I don't think this is done trending north. Today's storm was way north of the models. Jan 6th had places in central PA get decent accumulations when models said they'd get nothing. What hasn't trended north this year?