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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    I would like to know Walt's opinion of all this depressing throwing in the towel talk going on here.........
  2. NEG NAO
    good luck if you are using this to determine that and why lesser amounts in western NJ and eastern PA then eastern NJ ???- clown map IMO
  3. NEG NAO
    Supposed to be 50 % max capacity in New York - also too many people here are hanging their hats on one model run but others are not which is the way to go about this IMO. Also take into consideration how much moisture will be wasted in virga at the start and also IMO there are going to be a few surprises during this storm many storms like this one do especially the first one of the season - remember what happened during the November 2018 storm ?
  4. NEG NAO
    and the 4 foot drifts is the other half of the fun and eventually that will happen....
  5. NEG NAO
    that shortwave in Minnesota on the GFS is what might be causing it to do what it did at 12Z anyone see that on any other model ?
  6. NEG NAO
    now areas north of I80 are worrying about not getting more then a few inches the thing to concentrate on is the high to the north ...
  7. NEG NAO
    there is one way the NAM could be close to correct with these amounts is if later in the afternoon close to sunset or after there is a heavier burst of snow for a few hours and temps slide closer to freezing or below
  8. NEG NAO
    Those snow maps for tomorrow on the NAM are overdone in the immediate NYC metro IMO - soundings and surface temps don't support the amounts listed.....
  9. NEG NAO
    yea Blizzard Warnings might be hoisted in part of the area..........IF models continue showing these solutions.......
  10. NEG NAO
    what are the wind speeds on the models?
  11. NEG NAO
    The storm is being blocked from moving out fast - in no hurry to leave.........
  12. NEG NAO
    starts early afternoon Wednesday tapers off around noon Thursday almost 24 hour event...........
  13. NEG NAO
    yes still can be changes....
  14. NEG NAO
    I would say its still possible - see - I am keeping all options on the table....
  15. NEG NAO
    Rossi - we are talking about possibilities - my point being you have to keep all options on the table - did I say its over ? whats wrong with you ??and tell me you would stay all snow with a tucked in solution and water temps in the upper 40"s
  16. NEG NAO
    but people out on LI and in Monmouth and Ocean / Better luck next time....
  17. NEG NAO
    Euro ensembles have been hinting at the northwest trend tucked in solutions - nothing wrong with it but the cutoff between a foot and basically next to nothing is really sharp.....
  18. NEG NAO
    you knew sooner then later there was going to be a problem...........thats why I posted earlier to be conservative with snowfall estimates
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  21. NEG NAO
    Always start conservative especially 4 days out
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