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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. Facebook is so full of nonsense and bots and Ai garbage I have had to block hundreds of former friends and sites
  2. The problem I have with this Saturday event is its only going to last a few hours earlier in the day so the daytime heating after that will probably melt the lss than an ich accumulation
  3. Its difficult to believe any solutions right now. Over all the models are having an unusually difficult time with this pattern. The area of precip on Saturday is so limited along with temps borderline in some areas - I doubt most areas south of I-80 will see more than Trace amounts and only in some locations. Sunday ? Will determine after 12Z model runs.
  4. 0Z Euro is a miss to the east on Sunday. I am thinking but not ready to say it out loud yet that the immediate NYC metro will end up with basically little or nothing total the entire weekend.
  5. Now 0Z Euro is giving immediate NYC Metro 2 - 3 inches Saturday
  6. this obviously is overdone especially with the sharp intensity and precip total boundaries - no other support - plus with such a strong storm it should show some precip further west also - not going from nothing in Eastern PA to over a foot in NYC - guaranteed this will be different at 0Z
  7. Do you understand why the change happened and why it has happened in the past many times ?
  8. Why don't you mention that it is a total turn around from the 0Z run and too far out for an OP run to even consider . There also should be a rule around here that if you post a model run analysis you must post graphics
  9. How do you figure we are down in the score ? Also there is no chance to pick up a couple inches region wide the next 7 days ? Remember we had above normal snowfall in December 7 + inches in CP NYC and more in surrounding areas I had 9.5 - I am right where I should be with accumulation for the season so far
  10. Somebody should go over to the January 2026 thread and take all the BS posts about January snow and cold chances being over and put them here in the banter thread- its wrecking that thread. Also I think some people have multiple accounts and just posting nonsense posts to cause problems in the main threads...
  11. In this type of pattern models are not going to pick up on any storm threats till 5 - 7 days out and Clippers and Miller B's might prevail - not Gulf Lows for now ..but one never knows for sure
  12. Get ready for some way below normal temps Don's predicted 0.2 below normal for the month might end up too warm !
  13. this won't pull it down ? Check out the last graphic - 45 Below just north of the great lakes - impressive and the flow will be directed towards here from that source region and a few degrees below normal for a period of time will bring thos above averages down to near normal by the end of the month or below !
  14. From folklore to science: The 'January Thaw' is real, as the Northeast and Middle Atlantic states are about to find out | Cornell Chronicle
  15. especially since its still 3 days away
  16. "Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 55% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 33.5° (-0.2° below normal). " That quote is from Don's post from yesterday - How you consider 0.2 below normal "warm" is beyond me.
  17. BX said no thread earlier - and I agree .
  18. why does it say I don't have permission to see it ?
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