NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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As long as this 200 -250 mb Jet Streak is unusually far south in June we are going to have chances of severe weather across the area - usually a summer like pattern features this being further north into Canada
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no its falling apart as its moving into NJ
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6 -10 is close to normal or slightly above temp and possibly above precip for the metro as of today
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Should be an interesting week of weather around here starting with cool and dry and the second half Hot Steamy with Severe Storms...
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A busy hazards week across the country
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Another round of 90 degree days on the way later this week - does anyone have stats on the record number of 90 degree days anywhere in the metro prior to the official first day of summer for a given year ?
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Watch likely northern area - whether that is extended south is anyones guess mainly because of poor timing SWO from KWNS
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with that cold water and the storms not reaching over and past NYC until mid - late evening severe potential will be limited to gusty winds and maybe a heavier shower in coastal locations IMO especially east of NYC and coastal NJ and CT
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all the cloud cover over us and to the west with no storms developing until you get into eastern Ohio will push back any severe potential a few hours past the peak heating times - SPC has no mention of any possible severe watches close to the area as of 1 PM SPC Products Page
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Main severe threat just like the last severe threat a couple weeks ago will be the damaging winds usually when the storms are approaching any affected area - this is especially dangerous at the many outdoor events this time of year during this weekend
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keep checking here SPC Products Page
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that has been the trend now for quite a while as we get closer and closer to game time the last several frontal passes - Upton says in the morning AFD "The main failure point with these storms is that the airmass has been so dry ahead of the front" .........one thing is for certain the drought will continue until further notice....
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a few cooler days after Saturday than the heat returns according to NOAA CPC
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When is this nonsense going to end ? Near record highs in some locations to near record lows in a short period of time has happened a few times since April - one constant however - the drought will continue until further notice.
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Looking ahead to 26/27 winter here is more evidence of a Modoki El Nino developing similar to 2009-2010 - time will tell...
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only thing growing on my lawn that is exposed to the sunlight is weeds - ground is dry as a bone here in central NJ and after the hot sunny temps this week the weeds will stop growing too....
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A review of the hurricanes 1950 -2022
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it is - Upton once again predicted Mostly Sunny - happens quite a bit
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Going to be interesting to see if Upton's forecast of Mostly Sunny verifies as we head into the afternoon hours
