The RGEM may have a cold bias, but when the Euro, GFS, Nam twins, and CMC all show my area (Augusta County) getting more than 1" of accumulating freezing rain, it gets my attention!
It bullseyes my county, so no it’s not. Lol
In actuality, I think there is zero chance of 2” of freezing rain verifying here, but would love to see it (minus the requisite power outages and accidents, of course).
Euro doesn't think too much of snow chances, even at my elevation and location in the valley. Anyone have freezing rain and sleet accumulation from the Euro?
Btw, guidance has me expecting an ice storm down here of epic proportions (Augusta County) based on latest euro and gfs and respective ensemble convergence.
So, knowing what I know about freezing rain verifying here (even with 1550’) and my climo being in this general area for 30 years, I am 99% sure I will be seeing cold rain and will be teaching young adults Thursday and Friday and not having snow/winter weather days!
Hope the northern/eastern crew gets lots of accumulating snow though! You all are still in the game
Makes sense since the planet spins at 1,000 mph at the equator and therefore there must be a force generated by the slower moving fluid layer on top compared to the solid 1000 mph layer underneath it. Mountains are like rocks on a river bed if the rocks were moving faster than the water lol
eta: thanks for explaining it, CAPE
Very, very slow decline. I did a linear regression for total annual snow in DC and Baltimore since 1880s last year and the slope was barely negative (statistically within the margin of error for zero slope).
Also not sure about there being more big ones and less small events than in the past, although I didn’t do a statistical analysis of that yet. There were some huge KUs all throughout the last 120 years as well.