Geoboy645

Barneveld was definitely a discrete supercell. And it was quite cyclic too. Not only did it drop Barneveld, but it dropped an F2 by Rio and then a long track F3 that ended up by Markesan. The cell originated from the remnants of storms from an outbreak in IA/MO the previous day. Those storms even dropped a 130mi+ F4. It is honestly one of the most fascinating meteorological evolutions of a violent tornado. Especially considering the time of night. Here is a paper on it and some of the terrain influences on the tornado outbreak. https://ams.confex.com/ams/27SLS/webprogram/Manuscript/Paper254701/9_126_Frye_courtney.pdf

Saving this for August 1st...

Not Chicago, but up here at least 1962 was like that. One of only 8 years that recorded 22 inches or less of precipiation and yet only reached 90 degrees or higher 4 times the entire summer. This year has actually been pretty similar to 1962 so far, so its an interesting analog to follow as the summer goes along here.

Man this weather is just absolutley terrible. 43 and rain at 5pm on May 27th is straight up not ok. I mean who doesn't love a feel-like temp of 33? Hard to believe yesterday was 73 and sunny and the day before 84 and humid. Or you know actual Late May weather. At least the rain will help with the drought and it wouldn't be terrible if it was oh IDK 20 degrees warmer. At least this is only today and tomorrow and then back to at least semi-normal for this time of year.

Wow that's a major city out there!

What in the literal **** is that GFS run for southern Wisconsin for Sunday. 9 inches of snow?! ON MOTHER'S DAY?! I am up here in Green Bay and I am still annoyed at even the thought of that. Even if you were cut that in half because of it being yknow Mid-May that is still 4-5 inches of snow. Eff that. And its only 4 days out too. Same S**t different year. Uggh.

I figure we are at the point where a drought thread could be useful. Most of the forum has had a very dry last 2.5 months and drought is really starting to spread over much of the region. For instance, Madison has only had .01 inch and a few traces of rain since April 11th. If we do not get a wet week out of this upcoming pattern here we are going to be in serious trouble for this summer. 1915, 1934, 1958, 1976, and 1989 are all years that have had similarly dry springs and with the exception of 1915 all ended up well below average for precipitation. We will see how this plays out, but right now it is looking to be a drought filled summer for the Midwest.

Yeah today way overperformed. Our forecast high was 78 and its now 84 here. Whats crazy is that it was 60 at about 12 noon. So we went up by 24 degrees in about 5 hours, which is pretty crazy.

Meanwhile up here I don't think it ever went above 50. Just a cold, windy , gray day. Really disappointing considering the forecast as of 36 hours ago. Oh well, this is pretty normal for this time of year anyway. I'm just used to being on the warm side. At least this weekend looks really nice as of right now.

Don't you just love it when your predicted high of 72 tomorrow turns into 54 and clouds. Cause I sure don't.

One plus about an 8-1-2 progression is that they at least bring the chance for a much warmer and wetter pattern the next few weeks. They tend to cause at least a few days with MCS's and 80's this time of year. It would be nice to get a few of them, we really need the rain.

Oh boy I'm so glad that we are talking about a severe threat on April 20th, it's been a while! *rereads thread title* Aww man Honestly though after the last three years, snow this late doesn't even phase me oddly enough. Then again up here in Green Bay we might be too far north of the snow which is A-ok with me. Crazy to think that we had such a warm first week that we might have snow on the 20th of this month and still end up above normal across most of the midwest.

That's not actually La Soufriere. That is Sarychev Peak in Russia, erupting in 2009 as seen from the ISS.

I can see something more akin to a spike than a true wave. We go up in cases for like two weeks and then crash back down to where we were before and then some as it continues to get warmer and more people have vaccinations.

Uggh couldn't have waited one more month? Didn't they learn from last May? Well looks like we will get our fourth wave then. Although I do wonder in some ways if the winter storms a couple weeks back have affected this, make it so that its a way to jump start businesses again. Also wouldn't be surprised if it's a way to get soem favorablity back with any republicans that may have fallen out of favor after the whole debacle.

Well the last week and a half of melting has basically killed the snowpack. I don't think I have seen this deep of a snowpack disappear this quickly without a warm rainer. Forecast is looking good for more melting for the next week and i'm expecting here at least to be down to only the big piles by next week monday. While we are not completley out of the woods when it comes to snowmelt flooding, it is looking a lot better then say 3 weeks ago. Now the focus is more on spring rains. The first half of the month is looking rather dry, but the second half at this point looks to be potentially wetter.

See the problem is that it has felt like we get 60 days of March instead of the normal Spring progression. Look at last spring where it was essentially the same pattern with a couple exceptions from March 1st to May 10th. Man I hope we can get warm this spring.

Now that is something you don't see everyday. Also you guys still have 10" down there? We are down to piles up here for the most part. Would have thought the near 50's on Saturday would have significantly melted it. Guess not.

Summer you say? That's too warm, dont you know it gets above 32 then?! I think Mcmurdo station might be hiring though .

I'm sorry but what is there to complain about? 75% of the subforum just had one of the coldest and snowiest three weeks in February in a long time. I mean most areas had over a foot of snow OTG at least once in that period. That is a mark rarely seen around here. Yes no one except for the Chicago Lakeshore got a true big dog, although I'd argue the Feb 1st storm around Chiacago was one, but it was still an insane stretch of winter that we having been dreaming about for years.I get it that December and the first half of January sucked, but it shouldn't outweight that stretch at all. And you know what it does suck a bit to have all of that snow just dissapear like this, but I would rather have all of this melt like this instead of it sticking around for two weeks to get rained upon. Plus it is March 1st tomorrow. That means meteorologically, spring is officially here. This is right on time (for once). Heck even with the last week of warmer temperatures this month will still go down as one of the coldest february's ever. I just don't get what there is to complain about at all.

Oh boy I guess its the annual let's flood the Tennessee valley week. Right on schedule too.

Now that the melt looks to start over the next week it'll be very interesting seeing how the rivers respond. Fortunately it looks to initally be a slow melt which should minimize flooding at least for the moment. At least here everyday this week looks to be 30's and 40's at least at somepoint in the day. Adding some sun and you got yourselves great conditions for long slow snowmelt.

Thanks to this cold wave. Madison is averaging all of 3.7 for the month. That is a -20 departure. Even if we warm up significantly the 2nd half of the month we are almost 100% below average for this month. There is a very good chance of being colder then February 2015 for average when it's all set and done.

Oh. Nvm then.

Wow LES effects almost all the way to Peoria.