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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. As a resident of DC for almost 30 years... it does snow here contrary to popular opinion. I don’t think this will have any problem sticking. Every time we have a snow drought period it’s really impacted the boards psyche.
  2. I’ll take whatever we can get in dc. Euro still looks good for at least 3 inches and is the furthest south driest... Hopefully the trend stops at 18z.
  3. It’s below freezing... think that would be sleet on the icon.
  4. Definitely. The NAM does show dewpoints around 27-29 with a temp of 33 during moderate snow at night. Would imagine wet bulbing would be more effective...
  5. I’m doing the same... honestly.... I live in NW DC and even though I haven’t maxed out on every event so far this year, I’ve enjoyed each one and am looking forward to this weeks event, even if it isn’t 18 inches with drifts to 5 feet and temps crashing to zero.
  6. The 6z gfs run had at least five separate (mostly snowy threats). We don’t live in Whistler, BC or even Davis, wv for that matter.
  7. Apparently, when model consensus is greater than 6 inches at DCA 36 hours out, we have that luxury.
  8. In my experience, the feb 10th sunlight factor under overcast conditions with Igor snow and temps around 28, would not inhibit accumulation even on paved surfaces. That’s just been my experience.
  9. This is more of an overrunning situation, not like the previous two storms where intense banding resulted in large areas of subsidence. Overrunning tends to be far more uniform.
  10. Not even for the northern half of the dc beltway... 7-10.
  11. Lol! Def would if the gfs depiction comes to fruition. EC/Canadian/rgem have temps in the mid 20s in the metro on Thursday.
  12. I remember a very similar situation in February 1996 if that’s what you’re referring to. I think @psuhoffman may have already mentioned it.
  13. The NAM was also a fair amount colder that its 6z run... the icon and rgem are encouraging at least.
  14. Looks like the rain snow line is in st Mary’s county, but much colder after that for the follow up.
  15. 12z Icon is a hit region wide wed-thurs for what it’s worth.
  16. Excellent post.... also... if you lived near the dc metro and esp south and southeast, prob shouldn’t have had your hopes up for a huge event...
  17. There are tons of weenies in Europe. They are all over Twitter!
  18. Damn, I have more than twice that in NW...
  19. All snow in NW DC. Starting to accumulate quickly. Temp down to 33 and falling.
  20. I don’t think all of the models were slightly southeast of bulls eyeing the I-95 corridor from 36-40 hours out but maybe I wasn’t paying attention that close.
  21. I really don’t mind that look sitting in dc 36 hours out... I would imagine given the lack of suppressing flow there could be a tick or two north and west prior to Sunday.
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