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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    Apparently, when model consensus is greater than 6 inches at DCA 36 hours out, we have that luxury.
  2. chris21
    In my experience, the feb 10th sunlight factor under overcast conditions with Igor snow and temps around 28, would not inhibit accumulation even on paved surfaces. That’s just been my experience.
  3. chris21
    This is more of an overrunning situation, not like the previous two storms where intense banding resulted in large areas of subsidence. Overrunning tends to be far more uniform.
  4. chris21
    Not even for the northern half of the dc beltway... 7-10.
  5. chris21
    Lol! Def would if the gfs depiction comes to fruition. EC/Canadian/rgem have temps in the mid 20s in the metro on Thursday.
  6. chris21
    I remember a very similar situation in February 1996 if that’s what you’re referring to. I think @psuhoffman may have already mentioned it.
  7. chris21
    The NAM was also a fair amount colder that its 6z run... the icon and rgem are encouraging at least.
  8. chris21
    Looks like the rain snow line is in st Mary’s county, but much colder after that for the follow up.
  9. chris21
    3-9-99. Awesome surprise storm!
  10. chris21
    12z Icon is a hit region wide wed-thurs for what it’s worth.
  11. chris21
    NAM was 3-5 degrees colder at the surface this run.
  12. chris21
    Excellent post.... also... if you lived near the dc metro and esp south and southeast, prob shouldn’t have had your hopes up for a huge event...
  13. chris21
    Feb 87... was one
  14. chris21
    There are tons of weenies in Europe. They are all over Twitter!
  15. chris21
    Damn, I have more than twice that in NW...
  16. chris21
    All snow in NW DC. Starting to accumulate quickly. Temp down to 33 and falling.
  17. chris21
    I don’t think all of the models were slightly southeast of bulls eyeing the I-95 corridor from 36-40 hours out but maybe I wasn’t paying attention that close.
  18. chris21
    Sweet meteorological reasoning there
  19. chris21
    I really don’t mind that look sitting in dc 36 hours out... I would imagine given the lack of suppressing flow there could be a tick or two north and west prior to Sunday.
  20. chris21
    Def wasn't saying that either. Just relating my experience with that one product. Think you already mentioned it but looking at the different parameters, etc... prob the best way to go.
  21. chris21
    The snow depth map could be right, but in general I have found that product to be pretty atrocious with verification.
  22. chris21
    Where are you located in DC? I got down to 36.7 last night in NW, you didn’t get below 40. Luckily, it’s early Feb so we are in prime climo for these types of events. I would be far more worried about what you are referring to of this event was in March. Most of the models indicate heavy precipitation with cold air aloft creating an ideal situation for dynamic cooling. Most models show temps of 31-33 during the heavy snow.
  23. chris21
    Still have full coverage in my yard in nw. Hard to keep snowcover downtown.
  24. chris21
    It’s aging about as well as this 1990 CSN album cover. Additionally in the afternoon update, the forecast indicates a 20 percent chance of snow. In the AFD, they also day all terminals can expect ifr conditions in wintry weather sat night and Sunday. Which one is it?
  25. chris21
    I remember the 2-3 event well. 4 inches or so in Bethesda with maybe 3 in upper NW. came down heavily for a while but wasn’t that cold.
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