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Cobalt

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Everything posted by Cobalt

  1. Cobalt
    Modest lp close by with temps in the 20s. If only this could be locked in
  2. Cobalt
    Before Euro shatters our dreams.. DT 1st call map. Was made before 0z suite (which makes me assume he wasn't weighing the GFS then because it had its worst run at 18z)
  3. Cobalt
    The goblin freak show (GFS) is running
  4. Cobalt
    The cold push on the Euro is quite incredible, -17F in central PA while precip is developing in North Carolina.
  5. Cobalt
    Putting the Next in WeatherNext
  6. Cobalt
    Clearly our misfortune since 0z is due to the promised posting of the WeatherNext never coming to fruition. Thank you, this will reverse the course.
  7. Cobalt
    AI GFS looks a tick Northwest? At least at h500 and with that initial slug of precip.
  8. Cobalt
    Better trough orientation than 12z but considering that 12z was uber OTS that ain't gonna cut it
  9. Cobalt
    Some of this seems to be timing also? RGEM looks to be a few hours slower with the entire sequence of events than it was for 18z.
  10. Cobalt
    Weren't you just talking to a robot asking it to share secrets about the Weathernext's 18z run?
  11. Cobalt
    Why are we going through the individual members of an AI ensemble
  12. Cobalt
    h500 at hr 72 is a stone's throw away from the GFS solution.
  13. Cobalt
    There is effectively no way for Gemini to not only have direct and up-to-date information on the Weathernext 2.0, but also to be able to disseminate that information into snowfall ranges.
  14. Cobalt
    Google's AI model I believe. It got some credit for latching onto the northwest trend for this past weekend's storm pretty early on. I believe it's available on StormVista?
  15. Cobalt
    https://www.weather.gov/lwx/wintermaps
  16. Cobalt
    The inclusion of the middle name really adds credence, nice touch
  17. Cobalt
    So incredibly easy to extrapolate what a similar shift at 0z would do.. Let's hope the Euro can fill in the blank for us
  18. Cobalt
    How does this compare to 12z?
  19. Cobalt
    I recall when it hallucinated a threat back in late Jan 2021.. went bonkers for a few runs with the operational and ensemble snowfall totals then completely lost it. That was at like hr 132 though, so this would be something else.
  20. Cobalt
  21. Cobalt
    Easier to bring it due North than due West at this range at the very least
  22. Cobalt
    RGEM honestly not too far off of GFS at hr 84
  23. Cobalt
    AI GFS looks like a slight step back on the coastal. Still further west than AI Euro, and it also has that initial slug of moisture further North to start. As others have noted, that might be a way to salvage a small snowfall if the main event fails to develop.
  24. Cobalt
    NS lobe is definitely further West than 12z through 72, but doesn't look like it's gonna get its act together.
  25. Cobalt
    In recent memory, it feels like the Euro is most fallible past hour 120+, and the GFS is most fallible within that range. Makes perfect sense then that the Euro showed a favorable solution at that range only to trade places with the GFS as we got closer. Anyways.. Euro AI shows a small event on the 5th
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