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Scarlet Pimpernel

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Everything posted by Scarlet Pimpernel

  1. Scarlet Pimpernel
    LOL! GFS shows a gradient/overrunning type event near the end of its run.
  2. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Gorgeous! I love the sky at sunset, ever-changing red/orange colors! And I like the hint of reflection on the snow as well.
  3. Scarlet Pimpernel
    My take as well. Honestly, I was actually a bit surprised that all 3 major global deterministic runs showed a similar thing.
  4. Scarlet Pimpernel
  5. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Haha, pretty much!! But like I said, the one thing that is now looking more possible across the models is a potentially monster event...somewhere! That's more or less the takeaway. Or at least, the wild solution the GFS showed the other day is perhaps not so much the "crazy-uncle-in-the-attic" after all!!
  6. Scarlet Pimpernel
    You new here? It's our modus operandi!
  7. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Well of course! But what I find most interesting now is that we had a run or two this past week where the GFS showed a monster but no other real support from other models. Now, that general idea is showing up for next weekend pretty much across the board in one way or another (granted, looking at the deterministic solutions). So the possibility of that is not quite so crazy sounding.
  8. Scarlet Pimpernel
    So 12Z Euro has us worried and sweating about temperatures, while now the 18Z GFS has us concerned about wide right and then slamming New England!! Well...the one consistent thing as others have said is that there is some consensus at least on a significant event next weekend. But so many details that aren't going to be ironed out anytime really soon. Unfortunately, not a standard ideal setup where you know what's coming for the most part and it's a matter of small details only and not the overall evolution (a'la 2010 or Jan. 2016).
  9. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Hahaha, quite true!
  10. Scarlet Pimpernel
    What are they pessimistic about? The Euro solution that was cold rain from here to northern New England? I'd be pessimistic about that too.
  11. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Some frosty water on a cold day!
  12. Scarlet Pimpernel
  13. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Interesting. Though it has more of a GL low showing up, perhaps?
  14. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Premature pants-tenting? I guess we should all beware of that!
  15. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Looks like that shortwave that approaches the upper midwest kind of shunts it more to the east, rather than doing what the storm last weekend did (i.e., go due N or NW inland). And, there is some suppressive flow to the northeast.
  16. Scarlet Pimpernel
    All the weenies down in Weenieville will all cry boo-hoo!
  17. Scarlet Pimpernel
    A Jebslide!!!
  18. Scarlet Pimpernel
    I'm pretty sure @WxWatcher007 is doing quite well in retirement, still living off the interest he made at the old Panic Room casinos and bars! I hear Ji always tipped well, too.
  19. Scarlet Pimpernel
    I believe so! And here's the one for the NAM...
  20. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Yeah I have to wonder how anything gets 3" by 12Z tomorrow morning, but whatever. I don't know how many of these sites' algorithms use the information contained in the available GFS files, maybe some of them ignore the liquid equivalent? Though can't see why they would do that.
  21. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Never saw the musical version, but did see the movie with Mel Brooks and Gene Wilder...hilarious! Maybe we should start abbreviating "southern stream" as "S/S" or "s/s" (and for northern, use "N/S" or "n/s").
  22. Scarlet Pimpernel
    "Let's add some happy little 0.25"+ green blobs over here, now!"
  23. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Maybe it's wrong, but hell, I'd take it if it were correct!!
  24. Scarlet Pimpernel
    I actually thought that was one of those Dr. Ruth Westheimer quotes...but maybe she was using what Bette White said. Anyhow, it is kinda funny!
  25. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Potentially stupid question here...would we almost not do half-badly if that northern stream shortwave just ended up being a fair bit stronger over time, and screw the southern vort? Like if it digs a lot more somehow, some way.
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