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Scarlet Pimpernel

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Everything posted by Scarlet Pimpernel

  1. You can definitely see the southern wave is farther southwest from 00 to 06 to 12Z. And that energetic shortwave over New England from 06Z disappears. It does look more positively tilted, but I can see why it's potentially better.
  2. Nahhh, no problem bragging a bit or mentioning that you got Christmas snow in SC! At this point, "discussing" that storm and calling it the one which "should not be named" is kind of for humor. At least for me. Yeah it sucked at the time but it's weather and it's like 10 years ago. Plus, there are other similar events that "screwed" this area, but that one I suppose is one of the more dramatic examples. It was the season after we got record-breaking snows so I think a lot of people perhaps had unrealistic expectations still. Hell, I'm still more "hurt" about Cleveland (my home town) losing TWO World Series, both in Game 7, both extra innings...1997 vs. the Marlins and 2016 vs. the Cubs. And the Browns loss to Elway and the Broncos to "The Drive" and "The Fumble". LOL!! At least they did get the NBA championship in 2016 though!!
  3. Yes, the "Voldemort" storm ("he who should not be named!"). It perhaps wouldn't have been so badly remembered, but this area even the day before was looking like we'd share in some good snows. I think there were even watches/warnings out for awhile.
  4. I believe the Ohio blizzard of 1978 featured a 504dm height closed low at its peak (and a 957mb low that went right through the state). That was unreal.
  5. Wow, the Lord High Executioner, the Reaper, comes out of retirement (temporarily) to take a blasphemous soul! It's like an emeritus reaping!!!
  6. LOL! GFS shows a gradient/overrunning type event near the end of its run.
  7. Gorgeous! I love the sky at sunset, ever-changing red/orange colors! And I like the hint of reflection on the snow as well.
  8. My take as well. Honestly, I was actually a bit surprised that all 3 major global deterministic runs showed a similar thing.
  9. Haha, pretty much!! But like I said, the one thing that is now looking more possible across the models is a potentially monster event...somewhere! That's more or less the takeaway. Or at least, the wild solution the GFS showed the other day is perhaps not so much the "crazy-uncle-in-the-attic" after all!!
  10. Well of course! But what I find most interesting now is that we had a run or two this past week where the GFS showed a monster but no other real support from other models. Now, that general idea is showing up for next weekend pretty much across the board in one way or another (granted, looking at the deterministic solutions). So the possibility of that is not quite so crazy sounding.
  11. So 12Z Euro has us worried and sweating about temperatures, while now the 18Z GFS has us concerned about wide right and then slamming New England!! Well...the one consistent thing as others have said is that there is some consensus at least on a significant event next weekend. But so many details that aren't going to be ironed out anytime really soon. Unfortunately, not a standard ideal setup where you know what's coming for the most part and it's a matter of small details only and not the overall evolution (a'la 2010 or Jan. 2016).
  12. What are they pessimistic about? The Euro solution that was cold rain from here to northern New England? I'd be pessimistic about that too.
  13. Looks like that shortwave that approaches the upper midwest kind of shunts it more to the east, rather than doing what the storm last weekend did (i.e., go due N or NW inland). And, there is some suppressive flow to the northeast.
  14. I'm pretty sure @WxWatcher007 is doing quite well in retirement, still living off the interest he made at the old Panic Room casinos and bars! I hear Ji always tipped well, too.
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