Scarlet Pimpernel

7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Momma had to give the forum a bath? Lol

6 minutes ago, mappy said:

Sorta. Valid points were made and I took action to correct the issue.  

Lifebuoy to the rescue! 

2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I hear ya...which is why I said "I hope", lol

Just now, mappy said:

lol dont know if this is a serious question, but i will give a serious answer

January storm threat is short range, less than 7 days

January long range is long range, more than 7 days

January 25th is for the threat on Monday

So anything between the 25th-28th should be in the storm threat thread.

That's a pretty good way to describe it I think.  Shorter vs. medium/long range threads, and specific dated events that have real potential (e.g., Jan. 25).  I'd assume that if the Jan. 29 system continues to look real, we'll have a dated thread for that one, too.

27 minutes ago, H2O said:

here's my etch a sketch reply to this post

 

Is that the equivalent of "Shut up, Chuck!"??

Just now, snowfan said:

We excel at being organized. So should we use the January storm threat, January LR, or Jan 25th thread?

We need another thread titled "The Gap between the January 25th and January 28th Threats and  Potential Threats Beyond the 28th but Not Quite Really Long Range".  That ought to clear things up, LOL!! 

4 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Ha ha ... I get the NAM IS BAD MEME but I'm serious about it getting the gradient right in December. And met-taggers discussion that it did well versus the globals

LOL, I know, was just making the stereotypical joke about the NAM there!  In all seriousness, I do recall some discussion about that December event and the NAM's relatively good performance (with the thermals?).  Of course everyone jokes about the NAM beyond about 48 hours, but it's not terrible when you get closer to "go" time (36-48 hours and before).  Certainly for the thermal profiles.  I've also heard the NAM nests are superior to the parent 12km grid.

7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Unfortunately it's para-lyzed

Another good (bad??) pun, to go with your "fret" one the other day!!  That one made you a Guitar Hero!! 

Well done on the parallel GFS pun!  Perhaps it's engaging in para-normal activity too? 

1 minute ago, toolsheds said:

Since we are all nostalgic....I remember seeing Star Wars in the movie theater in 1976....

You must have seen an early release then, as it came out in 1977!!

ETA:  'd by @benjammin!  But I also remember seeing that in the theaters when it came out!

16 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Something to watch out for on the Euro/EPS. The GEFS/GFS are insistent on making snow fly on the backend, meanwhile the Euro does the exact opposite. Wonder which caves to which. 

 

That is an interesting development for sure...mix/ice to snow.  Not sure if that's shown up in previous model cycles before this?

4 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Does anyone else remember the NAM doing pretty well ...

No. 

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I remember the US beating the Soviets in hockey in 1980.

Thats exactly how dare the NAM being right was.

Yup...Al Michaels with the "Do you believe in miracles?"

55 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Not quite my style...

But THIS is!!!  Musical mayhem would be my specialty! That would really give him something to fret about *ba-dum pssh*

Ha, touche! As a connoisseur of puns, I appreciate this! 

2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Dude if you complain about that so help me!!!! Lol

*In mobster voice* "That's a real nice guitar...it would be a shame if somethin' happened to it..."

Are you saying @Ji might wake up one morning and find a guitar head under the sheets?? 

5 minutes ago, Ji said:

the upper level charts for the Pus storm week look really good

The "Pus" storm?? 

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

GFS is a joke. Flopping every which way every run. Even the GEFS ar 6z were going toward the euro. I bet the 12z GEFS won't support the op.

Yes, I'll be interested to see if the ensembles continue their trend from the 06Z GEFS...or if they "flip back" to more supporting the ops GFS.

26 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

Close hit on the German model. Scheisse!

Sometimes, it's a fine line between Schnee and Scheisse!

Well...it will be interesting to see what the GEFS ensembles say, and whether the Euro/Canadian hold on with their idea.

20 minutes ago, mappy said:

gonna start calling you Nostradamus 

If he's wrong about snow and cold, should we call him Nostradammit?? 

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Yup.  Completely falls apart just when it gets to us.   This winter man...

ETA:  There's somebody behind it, but F that noise.  

It's like that corollary to Murphy's Law:  you can't win, you can't break even, you can't even quit the game!  Kinda how it feels.  But...let's see how things go over the next few days I guess.  Seems overall to be a better evolution than a near-full latitude ridge.

Just now, stormtracker said:

I think this might be incoming on the Euro after that initial wave.

Is this the other one that I think @psuhoffman said potentially might be a better setup just afterward?

46 minutes ago, Ji said:

maybe last night was the rockbottom of the vally. Now comes the slow ascend @stormtracker

The arc of every model suite is long, but it trends toward snowfall?

12 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Here we go.  0z Model roulette.  Good luck folks

We need a little luck from "Casablanca" and the roulette table at Rick's Cafe!!

7 minutes ago, PCT_ATC said:

one more time for us laymen  

 

To quote from "Hardware Wars" (which is a great parody of the original "Star Wars")...

You pull the plug!!

26 minutes ago, Ji said:

ill be on cloud 9 till 12:45am.....i have 12 hours to enjoy euro blue so you probably wont see my usual complaining today!

So...you're saying that we all get some peace for the next 12 hours.

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Doesn't matter. Hug the living piss outta that shit bro!

Not sure that's a good idea...you might end up with yellow snow!! 

13 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I need this to be the day 13 mean

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

We'd have Purple Ball of Yarn watches on lock. 

C'mon, don't be a snob!  This is clearly post-modern abstract art...of some sort!