Scarlet Pimpernel

3 minutes ago, H2O said:

Its usually weather chat in our beer and food subforum

I hate it when weather gets into my beer or food! 

3 minutes ago, mappy said:

Agree to disagree is fine with me. 

lol i'm tracking flowers and warm temps. lol

Speaking of flowers, here's a snowdrop from the other day.  Early spring blooms!

6 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

An awful lot of weather chat in our political subforum today 

Start a thread!! 

5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I get the “go out of you feel safe, stay home if not” but it’s very obviously not that straightforward. More community transmission increases the risk for everyone, not just people eating in restaurants or going to Os games. Again, we’re literally only another 6-10 weeks away from pretty high population immunity levels. 

This says exactly what I was thinking.  This isn't totally a choice of doing something if you personally feel safe, a virus is a completely different animal.  It won't only affect you if you choose to participate in some activity, that also could potentially impact others.  I totally get wanting to "move on" in some manner.  As I said, we all want to get back to some kind of "normalcy" and where case counts and transmissions (including the several variants) are way down and mitigated.  I don't think any of us...regardless of views...really *wants* to wear a mask everywhere and not be able to do certain things.

As for vaccine availability, if I heard correctly it should essentially be generally available for all (i.e., not just certain groups or ages) by mid-late May?  And the amount that's available is increasing rapidly as well.  Definitely good things!

2 minutes ago, mappy said:

We are all grown ass adults, we know what we are comfortable with and what we are not. And that's okay. its okay if someone wants to hit up a bar after a long day at work, or go catch a Os' game (when they can), but please don't belittle the rest of us who are being more cautious. No one here knows anything about anyone else and why they are making the choices they are making to go out, or stay home. Just be more respectful. 

Absolutely.  Sorry if what I said came off as a bit disrespectful as well.  I just found a couple of the other comments to be off-putting (not yours, but others).

6 minutes ago, wxtrix said:

people should consider self-censoring their personal political views in this subforum if only for the reason we’re learning more and more of you are awful human beings.

LOL!  Yeah, this pretty well says it I think.  Agree.

3 minutes ago, mappy said:

 

I hesitated responding earlier as I didn't want to get too much into the controversial/political territory.  But felt the need to say a little something because I found a few of the other remarks to be belittling and a bit insulting.

24 minutes ago, mappy said:

I think its best not to tell people to stop being scared, we all have our limits with what we are willing to risk and should be more respectful of that. 

Thank you for this!  I honestly get tired of all the calls to just open stuff up, it's time now, etc.  I don't even think it's necessarily so much "being scared" as it is being cautious.

Honestly, everyone would like to get back to some semblance of normal but as @WxUSAF mentioned earlier, this is no time to spike the ball.  Many of the experts (such as Dr. Fauci) have cautioned that while the vaccine is ramping up, that doesn't mean we should just abandon current distancing/masking protocols or start opening everything up in full.  At least not yet.  I'd rather be overly cautious with this than not.  The other issue is that "making your own decision" doesn't only affect you, it potentially affects everyone around you as well.  The nature of an airborne virus.

33 minutes ago, H2O said:

After lengthy discussions with board staff there is mutual agreement to never pin this thread

26 minutes ago, Ji said:

pin this 

"After further review, the call on the field stands.  No pin for you!"

12 minutes ago, yoda said:

I demand a radio show hosted by Wes for this threat

Shortest. Radio Show. Ever!

17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

They’re laughing at us!

Especially Dr. No...errr, Evil!

"Those weenies are expecting snow in late March!  And they'll stay up until 2:00 AM daylight time now to check!!"

On 3/8/2021 at 11:29 AM, midatlanticweather said:

How about those amounts forecasted in Denver from the GFS! Insanity!

If the I-25 corridor there through Denver were like I-95 here, the equivalent of @psuhoffman's location would be about where Sterling is.  And we might be hearing concerns about suppression or fringing! 

On 3/8/2021 at 11:30 AM, North Balti Zen said:

Poor Gunnison.

23 hours ago, Chris78 said:

Gunnison is Colorados DCA lol

Was going to say either that or their version of Short Pump!! 

28 minutes ago, mappy said:

and thats for me up north, probably warmer for those south 

A couple degrees warmer where I'm at in the northwestern 'burbs of DC, but otherwise pretty similar!

1 hour ago, mappy said:

This week is looking to be awesome. BRING THE WARMTH. 

Yall can keep whatever snow is being advertised, I don't want it.

SPRRRRRIIIIINNNNGGGGGGGGGGG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

Another nice thing about this?  Mostly clear days and dry (well other than very late week perhaps)!!!  Not dreary rain/drizzle for days on end.

I will admit, if an actual snow possibility shows up the following week, I'd be in for that and follow it.  But for now, damn, 60s and sun will feel really good!

32 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Can you post the 1,250 hour CFSv2 panel.  H5 and H8?  Wanna see the rain snow line.

I did a detailed look at the soundings and they show a warm nose at H7 near the I-95 corridor. We get sleet. CAD is pretty stout though. Total beatdown for the I-81 and northern crew. 

15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Some people are being silly. A few observations.   Guidance is all displacing a now strengthening tpv lobe into Quebec the second half of March. This leads to a trough amplification into the east. This is a very different mechanism for cold then earlier this winter and right now. It’s more similar to the cold periods we saw in March 2014 and 2015. 
 

That doesn’t mean it will snow. It’s very late. Even in a good pattern we need luck. If I had to bet I would bet no. But that doesn’t mean it’s impossible.  It can snow in late March. Everyone in here knows that. And everyone also knows just because they had bad luck in January and February doesn’t guarantee bad luck in March. So people need to stop it with the fatalistic projection or reverse psychology stuff. Just because you’re disgusted about this winters results and personally done with winter doesn’t mean it can’t snow. The weather don’t care.  
 

Do I think it’s going to snow?  Probably not. But it could, the pattern looks somewhat favorable, so I find the posts making definitive declarations that something that has happened even recently (late March snow) cannot possibly happen to be silly!  

Yeah, it is a little amusing.  Like you, I don't really see a high probability of actually getting snow.  Well, beyond something like a bit of white rain or a few mangled flakes, that wouldn't surprise me.  But at the same time, I'm definitely intrigued here and something to keep a watch on.  I know there are several who are "done" with winter by now or who don't care for March snows in general because they don't hang around for long.  Personally, I'd love it if we could get a good event in later March, to be honest!  It wouldn't bother me that it would disappear within a couple of days after.

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

And making a model into a human. We love when he does that.  

So do the models!

3 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Except there’s no storm

Hahaha, true! The extra hour of daylight took it away from us! 

18 minutes ago, Ji said:

winter is back. Jb wins

The "Daylight Savings Day" storm??? 

48 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I’ll have to confirm but I think the 13.8 is the new 30 year. If it’s 10 I agree that’s sketchy. I think 30 is necessary since we know the climate is changing. Anything longer will skew cold/snowy compared to the current situation. 

I'd have to think that's a 30 year mean, the same type they always update at the end of each decade (e.g., 1971-2000, 1981-2010, 1991-2020, ...).  But would be nice to confirm that.  The other thing is they mention the average from a century ago, which I don't necessarily think is a very fair comparison; the measuring location I believe had been somewhere in northwest DC (near Georgetown??) for some time before the current DCA location.  Though wouldn't be surprised if the average in northwest DC has dropped too.

And holy cow, it just hit me that the early 1990s are now three decades ago!! 

3 hours ago, Deck Pic said:

me too.  It was puking snow with thunder and lightning.

That must have been the same clipper-type storm that I remember we got in Ohio on March 8, 1984.  Largest accumulation I ever saw from a clipper, we got 8" and it was in the teens that day.  That was a great couple of weeks in the area.  After a mostly very mild February, it turned much cold near the end of the month through March, then we got hammered by a big storm Feb 27-29, 1984 (16" snow!), followed by that clipper on Mar. 8.  The record lows for the following couple of days (Mar. 9 and 10, 1984...including -5 on the 9th) still stand.

4 hours ago, Dabuckeyes said:

Or Jason Garrett coaching for the Cowboys

4 hours ago, Yeoman said:

That too! He'll still be clapping, though

Small world...

Serious here...no joke, but I knew Jason Garrett long ago.  He went to my high school in the Cleveland, OH area (University School).  He was a year ahead of me.  His younger brother was in my grade and also played football.

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

 

That negative image of him looks like he has vampire teeth! 

8 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Our first color television was a Sony trinitron in 1972 just in time for the Olympics, the massacre, Olga Korbut, and Mark Spitz.

Haha!  I actually vaguely recall some about the 1972 Olympics and Mark Spitz's amazing run of gold medals (I was like 6 at the time!).  My older brother had this bean bag fish, and after those Olympics he took a black magic marker and drew a big mustache on it.  He dubbed it "Mark Fish" (in honor of Spitz)!!

Just now, Baltimorewx said:

The bottom line is I can’t stand the eternal optimists that speak for the rest of us they live in nearly 1,000 ft on a moutain or 50 miles northwest. I’m over it. Track away. But speak for the rest of us that haven’t got shit 

Oh I hear you and know exactly what you're saying.  Overall I agree, too.  I was just trying to say I try to hold out hope most years come March, but that honestly, this year there really is no indication that there's much of anything "going on."  Is there even much real chance on the 1000 ft. mountains or 50 miles northwest, at this point this year?  So saying "screw it, we're (probably) done" in my opinion isn't exactly an outlandish statement.  For at least 90%+ of us, it's not exactly looking like much of a realistic chance looking into the medium range indications right now.