Scarlet Pimpernel
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Everything posted by Scarlet Pimpernel
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Volcanic eruption being one of the theories?? I believe El Chichon erupted in the fall of 1992 as I recall. (Unless you're referring to the winter of 1991-92?)
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Don't Ninos typically favor blocking in the 2nd half of winter, at some point? Not sure how correct that is or how prevalent, but that's my understanding such as it is.
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Looks like a smiling pirate with an eye patch. Arrrr, matey, here's your blocking and your southern stream...now get to work on finding some snow!
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I do have to say, Beethoven doesn't look happy with a party hat on. Like he's thinking, "Get this f**ing thing off my head now, or someone's going to pay!" (but he'd say it in German, of course!)
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Well, just remember in France, they don't call it a Quarter Pounder...it's a "Royale with Cheese"!!!
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Well, I do look forward to a day when we can again discuss what beer (or other beverage of choice) we're drinking to ring in a big HECS!!!
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For half a second, I thought you were referring to that National League team in New York!!
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I know that's an op at range but daayum! And as @brooklynwx99 mentioned, sure it's an op at 384-h, but it does show a reasonable/possible progression and it fits in with what the ensembles have been showing lately for that time. Better than seeing crap on the longer range ensembles with an ops showing some unicorn storm that is clearly not consistent with the flow and pattern. Oh, and is that a BANANA high, dare I say??
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Happy birthday to one of the greatest!!
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I understand that both Washington and Jefferson were ultra snow weenies! Why else would Washington cross the Delaware River in the freezing cold on a holiday?! Also, the British observer at what is now the DCA location gave a very low snow total for that storm, sparking protests bigger than the Boston Tea Party, and played a role in the eventual American Revolution! I heard that snow weenies were out on barges tossing large snowballs into the Potomac. Rumor has it that the aforementioned British observer was an ancestor of what we now call the Reaper! True history, folks!!!
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Likewise!!
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Yeah the one I went to in July 2016 was a lot of fun, up in the Rockville area.
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I recall a clipper type system early in January. Yeah it wasn't overly warm but I believe a bit above normal overall for that last part of December and then again after the early Jan. clipper. Then it turned cold late January and we got that "surprise" moderate snow event on the 30th.
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I believe in that last panel, he sees the back edge...
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All this talk of famine and snow...have people been dreaming about 7 fat cows and 7 thin cows all of a sudden? Going all Biblical here!!!
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Thanks...I see better now what you're saying. As for the "we're due index!!", unfortunately, as you know, the weather don't give a s**t if we think we're due! But yeah, I get what you mean about how we wouldn't want this year to end up where we say it's now the worst 8 year period ever, and then possibly be staring down the barrels of yet MORE worst years! It actually took me a good while living in this area to realize that the "average" snowfall is meaningless...it's a conglomeration of many "meh" to crap years and the occasional blockbuster. Or, you'd get it all in one or two storms and nothing else. We definitely don't want this:
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But wetness in the form of ice crystals is a lot more fun!!! (Oh, dear, did I just send up the bat signal to RR with that wording???)
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But would we really break out of the "snow drought" if we even get, say, 10-15" or so above normal at the main airport locations? It would be great for this year of course. But we all know that we'd need...how many years of +10" departures?...to "level things out." Not one season. And "last shot for awhile"...maybe so. Isn't that what we usually do around here? I know there are many factors involved, not the least of which is (I'll say it!!) climate change, which alters the overall landscape.
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Sometimes, I admit it's honestly gotten difficult to interpret some of the commentary in here and the mood at times. It's all what expectations are: is someone looking for an above average snow winter (not necessarily epic, but well above)...are they just looking to at least end up with better than the last few years with some decent events to track...or do they consider anything that's more than last winter is a win (the ultimate low bar)? I get that the ENSO state, etc., this year should lead (normally!) to an easily well above normal year for snow with plenty of opportunities. And if that doesn't happen, maybe on that level it would be a failure. But on the other hand, what if we end up with, say, something like 2014-15, or 2006-07...or even the "one hit wonder" 2015-16? Would we all be so upset? I don't know.
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OK, thanks...after I re-read your comment I realized you must be talking about next year and beyond. Sorry for the confusion on my part.
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Do you mean it literally shows ENSO trending to a Nina as winter progresses, or that it's becoming "Nina-like" in its behavior? Or, are you talking about next year, etc.?
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Road trip to Spain, anyone????
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Serious (mostly) question here, since I don't look at the Euro weeklies really at all other than what I read in here. How accurate or useful are they? I'm not trying to be a homer here by suggesting "they look bad so they must not be accurate!" I'm being honest in what I ask. In the past, how many times have the weeklies shown drool-worthy patterns for several weeks, and it ends up crap anyhow as we got close in to that time? I know this has happened in previous years (maybe even last year at one point?). Of course the flip-side is assuming that they're spot on when they indicate a lousy pattern but dubious if they look good...but that's just me being cynical. In fact, I've noticed this for much of the sort of ultra-long-range models, how many times has it indicated a good trend that just doesn't happen? Is there something that isn't being picked up on in recent years? Again, maybe this is being biased on my part because of course we tend to better remember the times the forecast good patterns don't pan out.
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The medium-range thread looks like a disaster and the blinds are getting nervous that they may get soiled for weeks!
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The blinds, they have been shat upon!!!
