BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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Euro snow ensemble mean was nice
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We’re in the season of giving (to everyone else except us foothills folk)
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YOULL TAKE THE DOMINANT NORTHERN STREAM AND YOULL LIKE IT
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Pacific jet retraction, blocking, west coast ridge, cross polar flow. We need one more thing.
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lol…. Gentle swing there by the GFS
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For what it’s worth, the AI models, including the GFS graph cast are closer to the EPS than the GFS and its suite
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The past 3 or 4 winters have had Oct/Nov temps in Jan for the most part as well, so idk if we really have any track record to go on in recent years as far as that’s concerned with low placement + the cold dumping into the conus. This side of the world has been devoid of cold since a 2 week period in 2022.
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Idk. I’ll take the cold dumping in the plains on Ops for now. I could care less about a trough centered over New England. The former has a much better chance of delivering with a block than the latter.
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Some of you RDU folks need to go full weenie after that Euro run
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On another note, I’m not going to get giddy about how cold some of the guidance is. My worry is that too much of a good thing will have lows tracking through Cuba.
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Hey! I’ll take that signal this far out. Storm present in the eastern US and HP aplenty to the north.
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19 for the low and I’m sure this happens more frequently than I realize but we had rime ice on the trees down by the water this morning. Felt like a winter wonderland.
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Central NC atm
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Christmas Eve bares watching for an icing event….
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Weather looks phenomenal. And even the “torch” ain’t looking so torchy. I guess it depends on where you’re at, but the extended for me is mostly 50s.
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I’m excited about the Jan potential but man… I can’t help but notice how in most of the LR guidance, the trough axis is over New England. That’s just simply not going to get it done here most of the time.
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Decent lil pre Christmas thump on the way
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Wall clouds in December boys, we just need to change our mindset on what excites us.
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Came here to say the same about the 12z suite. in hindsight, absolutely zero has changed from previous thoughts over the past week. The only change is that the well predicted and overly advertised post-Christmas warm up went from fantasy land to the mid range.
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https://x.com/ferragamowx/status/1869056213197152290?s=46 off topic but this is amazing work that many in this crew will appreciate
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1,060 days since the last measurable snowfall for this crew
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You don’t have money to spend on sleds anyway. All of it better be headed to Belichick’s NIL fund.
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Murphy to Manteo. That’s what I’m rooting for.
