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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Gonna be honest, I really doubt some of these models on the slp placement. Seems more logical that it’ll be on the edge of the gulf stream closer to the coast, which would enhance us as well with the easterly fetch.
  2. It doesn’t hammer as hard this run but I’d take my chances with the footprint it shows. Much more expansive, cohesive coverage.
  3. I can’t believe we’re 31 pages deep in January
  4. Little bit of a punch to the nuts to hear them express doubt about totals along I40, but we press on. You may be ground zero!!
  5. Been locked in for days too! And a reminder that it’s a 10:1 output. We may double that.
  6. When the euro and its machine brother are in agreement, look out. Jordan/Pippen combo.
  7. Fwiw, the grid forecast from GSP has snow accumulating as early as dinner time tomorrow.
  8. I was digging into the FV3 and it actually left some meat on the bone. I think it should’ve been close to a foot for many of us. If you look at soundings Friday evening area wide, they support snowfall. The surface map didn’t reflect the saturated column.
  9. Makes sense given the ratios we’re looking at. Really won’t take much qpf for a very nice event. I’d expect winter storm warnings soon.
  10. If we don’t lose that meso low too far south, we’ll all be fine. Can’t see an issue of a screw zone if that’s the case. If we trend towards the Canadian camp then yes, someone is getting screwed because I’d favor a heavy band from Statesville through Forest City and into Greenville.
  11. Hall of fame gfs run in terms of everyone being happy
  12. Would like to see it quit digging so far south though.
  13. I’m not a met, but you can tell the NAM has zero clue where to place the coastal. I’d think it’s some feedback issues but there will be a bust zone somewhere. You can’t have it hammering west and east with air sinking in middle.
  14. After last week’s public outrage that was totally misdirected towards him, I can’t blame him at all. He could come out and give you his boom scenario, but would that really benefit him? If he forecasts 2-5” and you get 10”, nobody is going to scream. Now if he says 10” and you get 9”, people will bring pitchforks.
  15. Meant to snap a pic but was in a hurry this morning, but I had red skies at sunrise over my glacier. You know the rules… red skies at morning and what do we say about snow that’s sticking around? Fun weekend ahead potentially. Glad we’ve had a winter full of tracking whether the storms pan out or not. Sure as hell beats what we’ve had for years otherwise.
  16. Agreed, it’s a feast or famine setup
  17. We’re looking good. Only critique would be that I’d like to see the digging calm down a bit. You want to be just northwest of the ULL, not way northwest.
  18. Good to see it reverse the east trend it was on for a few runs with the vort dropping in
  19. Nam run wasn’t super great but the end of the 3k was going absolutely nuclear over us with the deform band.
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