BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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I still see some signs of something this afternoon, but idk what it is or what it’s trying to pick up on. It’s not organized banding but the hrrr is still showing some weird little impulse. Granted it’s the GFS, and double granted, it’s the gfs at nowcast time, but I do find it wild that it didn’t back down a single bit and almost shows some lee enhancement late morning.
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Snow levels are indeed falling. The camera on top of Hibriten Mtn in Lenoir is showing light snow beginning to fall. Elev: 2,211’
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Looking around at webcams, Boone is getting hammered right now
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We’re always the bridesmaid, never the bride
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I love cold rain
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33. Two degrees lower than the forecast.
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3K is a big nothing burger south of Virginia through 16hrs
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35
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Just hit 37 here. Still dropping like a rock.
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Target imo: 30°, I think if we could make it there before the cloud cover gets dense, we got a shot. 30 because you’ve gotta adjust for the 3-4° bump inevitably coming with the sky blanket. If we get moisture in early, it could really help since every cam has us at like 40/41 at the start.
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Sunset. Not a cloud in the sky. .
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Racing downhill, let’s go! Any hopium I can get I’ll take.
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It’s very rare around here, which made last night so interesting but like normal fog, you have to have high humidity and that saturated air super cools into droplets. Those droplets then freeze on surface objects like freezing rain, but the main difference being that these droplets are tiny - much smaller. Think steam in a bathroom after a shower vs the water coming out of the shower itself - similar concept. It’s a lot more common in coastal communities that get cold: i.e. New England, Seattle.
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The only wildcard I see is that we’re about to get way more radiational cooling than I would have anticipated. Gonna be a sizable break in between the clouds moving out and tomorrows batch moving in.
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He’s alive!
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We were living on the edge with this one and couldn’t afford for it to take any steps backwards and it did. I’m not even bullish for the northern half of the state anymore. This is a classic cold air chasing moisture setup and those just don’t pan out well if you’re south of middle Virginia.
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3k is very warm at the surface. I learned my lesson discounting it last year.
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Yikes
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17z hrrr did some digging, hopefully 18z follows suit
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@Hvwardcan you give us some hopium for a lee side trough?
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I think this pattern is going to eventually bare an amplified EC storm. Go read Cranky’s post on Twitter that I shared in the main thread yesterday. It may be at the tail end of the pattern but I do think it’s coming.
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My gut says someone in the northern mountains is going to get absolutely thumped. Like prediction of 2” with a verification of 7 or 8” thumped.
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Not gonna lie, it’s paltry, but .8” a few weeks before Christmas on a random Monday would still put me in a good mood.
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Unimpressive here. Got down to 31.6, so it wasn’t likely enough to matter.
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I complain about my area quite a bit but idk if anyone has been in the screw zone across the entirety of the southeast moreso than Charlotte. Truly feel bad for snow lovers in that area. Extra salt in the wound that Raleigh is about to score again.
