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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. I really think this ULL could produce a hell of a band over us. It’s been so long since I’ve seen any sort of synoptic deform band over WNC.
  2. This has been the most fun I’ve had in the forum in years. Good or bad, enjoying the ride. Hope all of yall stick around and shoot the bull this summer!
  3. Which one of yall sacrificed a rabbit today? Fess up
  4. Bingo. Every set up like this tends to favor the escarpment with a smaller screw zone just east. Typically sets up just east of 77.
  5. It’s not a thousand hours out either. This puppy is on our doorstep by Friday afternoon. 60 hrs roughly for western areas.
  6. Now heeeere’s a model that ya just want to see in your wheelhouse.
  7. This could do some nasty work. Just need the ULL to behave.
  8. Good lord what a weenie run for the foothills and upstate. Exercising demons for all of us in this region.
  9. By NWS forecast has now introduced “heavy snow” for Saturday.
  10. Lil bit of a gulf tap to it. I’ve seen some hints (faint) on the ensembles for that and it’s not out of the question. That would certainly be a game changer. You’d get almost a board wide event.
  11. Yes, and by appetizer, it’s freezer burnt fish sticks you forgot about behind the pizza bought last year
  12. Also does anyone find the modeling to be eerily striking to the Christmas storm of 2010?
  13. Different setups but we watched a region wide overrunning setup turn into a mega miller b in like 2 runs last week at this range
  14. It’s been a long time since we’ve had lee side enhancement. I couldn’t even recall the last time we’ve had that setup. Long overdue.
  15. Agreed because it hasn’t really waivered on evolution or footprint, just some ticks down in precip. Virtually no track shift the last few runs.
  16. I know it’s depressing when we’re all coming off the GFS and Canadian highs from earlier, but don’t sleep on that ULL. It’s the type of setup that’ll lull you to sleep until Thursday night when the CAMs really come into range and can analyze the convective setup. There would be some BIG winners and some big losers. One of those storms where someone gets a death band to the northwest of the ULL.
  17. It’s ULL or bust according to Wnext. Thats not an unreasonable output. Hope for a phase but an ULL can really thump in these setups. I wouldn’t expect details to be ironed out until Thursday if that’s indeed the victory path.
  18. I feel like that was a really positive 12z
  19. It has been a loooooooong time since we’ve seen any Lee side trough or enhancement. Could we break the drought?
  20. I’d imagine the QPF could be quite undermodeled at this range. A low that close to the coast and that strong is going to throw a much healthier precip shield much further west than modeled.
  21. Michael Clark says perk up. Hopefully he’s as correct as he was last weekend. .
  22. Wrong still lol. We had models missing REAL-TIME analysis this weekend. This threat is far from dead.
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