BooneWX

Met, I don’t disagree with you at all here man. It’s awful at 84. I was just making a point that the ingredients are sort of baked in for this setup much earlier. The interaction with the trough over Montana and the Baja low is how we’ve arrived at this point - which isn’t happening that far in the distant future. Modeling confidence for that interaction is only increasing each run.

Not panicking at range. It matches the euro lock in step in its useful range and everything with that interaction dictates our downstream result.

I want the Bradford Pears budding in 2 weeks

The NAM is identical to the euro in the useful part of its range, which matters most, because the interaction with the Baja blast and the trough over Montana dictates everything downstream.

I’m starting to think there’s a non-zero chance the Carolinas southward might can mostly dodge the bullet. It’s not a high chance but if we keep cutting further west, there will be a tremendous dry slot and less precip to cause damage. Prob the best case scenario at this point because it’s not coming south enough to snow anymore.

Jimbo, I hope your back feels better after this weekend. If this trends back to us, you’ll have to injure something else next year though. Sorry.

This is a rant and whining, so if you don’t want to read it, that’s fine, ignore and press onward but I just have to get it off my chest. Is it ever going to snow a warning criteria amount here again? How long do we have to wait? 5 more? 10 more? 15 more years? I really wonder. We can’t do one damn thing right. For years we’ve watched suppression be the reason we’ve missed and now in crunch time we’re going to get all of the amplitude we possibly need. We literally are allergic to winning. Go ahead and crack open the salt container for when we see a suppressed storm in a few weeks so Charleston can score again. I hate this sport sometimes.

It’s over boys! Cope and get those chainsaws ready.

I’ve gotta admit. Michael Clark just etched his name in the respect category. He’s making a lot of really intelligent, seasoned Mets look really really dumb this morning.

12z

Cook me up a good parlay for Saturday so when it hits, I won’t gaf about the outside conditions

Good night guys! Get some rest, seriously. Just stop looking at it, don’t look at 0z. Tomorrow is a new day good or bad. We’ve had days of euphoria, it was bound to toss in a trend we didn’t like. For me, I’ll hope the streak we’ve been abused by for years rears its head again: a suppressive ass northern stream - hopefully to our benefit for once.

Guys, I’ve been on this forum for a long time, and I’ve lurked on it much longer than that. In no way am I saying it isn’t trending north. You’d be blind to not see the trend the last 12 hrs. It may keep going north and we all may really crash out BUT…I have never once in my time tracking seen us not have a bad suite or two mixed in. It always happens, even in those “locked in” solutions. There’s always been a hot light on at least a few times in the tracking progression for the sanitarium or banter thread. This time is no different. I think the 2020s being so awful for winter weather has certainly made runs like that look and feel more painful. Here’s what I’m doing tonight and I encourage you all to do the same: go to bed. You’ll wake up tomorrow and it’ll be better, the worse or same and then when you’re wiping the crust out of your eyes, 6z will have something entirely different. Get some rest tonight, we might need it this weekend. Sawing pine trees isn’t light work.

We’re going to get that infamous phase that’s been elusive for years and it’s going to be a mega hulk strength phase

Yea I’ll absolutely crash out and sign off for a while

The Euro pulled off an elusive triple phase, which is why it jumped so far north. Not saying that can’t happen, because it can, but a triple phase would be insanely hard.

Yea I’m eating my words. North trend is really in motion.

I don’t smoke but I need a cigarette

Tehehehe

Little bit of Baja is fine, just not too much.

Snowier icon run

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Reasonable fear of a rug pull. So many of us have been heart broken for too long lol.

That may be fun anyways because we’re prob talking 4-6” of sleet

I’ve thought our likelihood all along was probably a miller b ish look for us, which would be great. A classic foothills special with several inches of snow, sleet and a glaze but I’m growing concerned by the minute that we’re trending away from several inches of snow, to novelty inches of snow with apocalyptic ice.