BooneWX

Models showing our persistent west coast ridge returning after the first week of Feb. could be a reaction to seeing the MJO head into the null phase but either way - what a winter. It’s been the reverse for years.

We’ve had a few if any ice storms in the modern era that involve strong HP to the NE. Most are in-situ CAD events, which do indeed bust 9/10 times.

If it ain’t snow, it can go. I’d rather it be 95 with a DP in the 70s next Saturday than reel in an ice storm. If that’s the option on the table I hope you RDU folks score again and not me!

Going to approach this one with caution. We haven’t had a single Baja low eject properly all winter.

Now THATS something I know us foothills folks can bank on. Probably a rare time we’ll see a lock from far out . Jokes aside, we’re coming to the end of this frigid pattern and I’ve always found that when people say “watch the end of the pattern,” it rarely has anything to do with snow. Like @wncsnowsaid, there’s plenty of cold in Canada. All it’ll take is some unfortunate timing to have a monster ice storm in the cad regions. Unfortunately we are historically due. It’s been a very very long time since our region has had a major ice storm, or even any ice storm that involves an actual anchored high to the north.

Rooting for us big time. Gonna be selfish and greedy next storm . Now that everyone else has had their fill, I’m politely requesting a 1040 hp just east of Toronto, with a phased low reaching negative tilt in Alabama before tracking through southern Georgia - to Charleston and Virginia Beach.

I just think we forgot what a seasonably average winter should feel like.

I just want every seasonal cold virus out of my house lol. If it takes 90° to make it happen then let er rip!

Storms like these remind me of how annoyed I get when people say we’re in a climatologically favored region. We’re absolutely not. We have to have a gulf low in perfect position with CAD to get snow here. Anyone from the piedmont - east can get just about any shitty setup to work out for them and I don’t mean that as a knock but it’s reality. It truly comes down to a miller A or sometimes a miller b depending on thermals for us. Thats it. No clippers, no flow, rarely do ULLs work here, southern sliders…eh. Most of the time no.

I’m kinda at that point too! Especially after getting our hand burnt two weeks ago. Burnt out with the dry cold, lack of sunlight and sickness in my house. Ready to put the pontoon on the water and embrace the gold bond time of year.

Thinking we burn the first two roughly

Congrats to all of my weather brethren down east. The radar looks glorious. I dream of a day that solid green returns and sub 32 temps grace my life but until then, I’ll live vicariously through you guys (before you say it, yes we had a foothill event a few weeks ago but nobody is claiming that disgusting little sleet fest), carry on.

Looks like no torch is in sight but no crazy cold either. We’re about to enter a Pacific pattern like we’re used to. There’s a lot of cold that should stay on this side of the globe so maybe we can make something work. It’d be nice to get a HP parked where it’s supposed to be and time up a storm.

Make negative tilt phased lows great again!

Man I’m inching closer to glory. 23/13

24/11

Dandruff conditions here in granite falls

Latest RAP gives me, @calculus1 @WiseWeatherand @WXNewton an inch

I have McFlurries

Love seeing the hot light on here. If yall are posting, it’s not falling too much further above me.

Definitely looks good on radar. I’m hoping some of those heavier returns can gain more latitude.

Our band that is modeled to give us a shot is currently setting up over northern Ga and is starting to spill into SW Nc.

I’ve been using the smaller tower in Charlotte. It isn’t great but if you play with the tilt, you can see good returns on tilt 3 and increasing returns on 2. A good sign.

I’ve seen 1-2 flakes the last hour. Not even enough to classify it as flurries but the deck is lowering and maybe it’s a sign we’re saturating the atmosphere a bit.

Gonna try and get on the roof around 4 and do my part moistening the lower levels with a hose