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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. Thanks PF , what a beating for the N greens. K Mart...not so much
  2. I believe it had a more westerly flow component . I just recall a friends dad saying he had tickets for K mart and they were supposed to see 18”. I believe it hit central VT spine but not 100%
  3. I recall that one. It Was forecast to dump 18” at K mart as well. Wild year .
  4. Been back since July . Did in home from April to July .Not wearing a mask when I’m doing heavy sets. Heavy basic sets are pretty much at least half of my routine That would be umm...just no ..I.E asking for a issue When Deadlifting..Leg pressing ..otherwise when walking around I flip it on. I also work at a facility for women only , I have it on 100% there (in mass) I’m just glad none of the ladies have passed out During their workouts . I push Most of those women harder than I workout myself , it’s impressive how hard they work (and only 15 seconds of rest between sets ) is the hardest part .
  5. Primary 990 mb now, ugly . I would be impressed if you verify 32 or lower
  6. We know you will be nude in Randolph dipping your weenie in snow drifts ...”yup at least 3.5” depth here”
  7. CNE/NNE People complaining about a foot snow storm progged by euro in Late March ...embarrassing
  8. Nice snower on Ukmet Sunday overnite for Dendy to lakes region To almost all of Maine CMC shifted south as well but still likes Phin to Sugar loaf
  9. Put one behind your ear and take a selfie
  10. Used to play that with a broom stick and either a tennis ball or Rubber ball. Great for hand eye coordination
  11. Speaking of lack of supplies. Look at the shortage in Semiconductor chips closely . You can see it in major auto makers coming out and saying they will continue to build 100’s of thousands of vehicles this year that will be complete (minus the vital) semiconductor chip that ..well you can’t operate the vehicle without . That is an issue that could weigh on the economy *more than currently predicted as those chips are used in a extensive amount of products. I wonder if there is a country out there that the public may not quite understand uses its leverage in that Semi conductor business and also with their near monopoly in rare earth minerals (And ALL their industry uses) to steer foreign policy hardball And last month Publicly ponder (outloud !) how much they could damage U.S defense contractors if they were withheld . The main supplier that is suppose to pick up the semi conductor slack is (Taiwan Semiconductor manufacturing) they are a beast of a company in the global supply chain , and on their 4Q earnings call said it is their focus to manufacture as many as possible for supply shortage . That does put them in the middle of geopolitical tensions between the two largest economies, and geographically ..much closer and able to be threatened by one . If for any reasons that Semiconductor Re-supply attempt is not successful that will add a strong headwind to any economic growth (outside of what knee jerk reopening fully will lead to as well as the trillions in direct fiscal stimulus supplies ) and More importantly those shortages will start to spread into more industries , (CPU, Vehicle’s Medical devices, cell phones , electrical) Economic Warfare is not new , but it’s going to be harder to ignore the effects of ..even if it’s not revealed as such and the huge technological changes currently driving the (New/Future economy) transformation in job markets , automation and robotics , solar and EV vehicle use Depend more than folks realize on Materials from “Countries” who see newfound leverage in their incredible current supply advantage in such materials .
  12. The worst grinch storm almost imaginable . That was a treat and you just had to laugh at that one. Total lack of torches since then for NNE has given that prolonged period of good skiing (lack of much arctic cold has been helpful as well) since in almost all below average years there is generally plenty at the mountains..in particular near upslope locals . Could otherwise be called a very boring stretch of weather up North . We shall see if we can avoid book end cutters that crap on the ski conditions next weekend
  13. Lumber price increases added 25K to new construction prices So some of those agreements are being cancelled Mortgage rates are loosely tied to the 10 year bond yield and ya they are heading up . Without fed intervention the massive short position in treasuries has been growing in lockstep with yield rises. When March YOY inflation data comes out (market already preparing for it ) you will see the big spike and more fuel for rises . So total monthly costs for new home buyers are on the rise in near term . If fed steps in later (they said if markets “crash” ) or ( if rates spike and stay over 2.5 or so into fall ) and prove not “transitory” a massive unwinding of yield rises could occur
  14. They are solid . Just haven’t been used much to show a impressive snowpack this season . S Canada looks pretty pitiful on that map above Was planning on Bretton woods next weekend, let’s not track a low into Quebec now like some modeling shows
  15. ya This didn't speed up or slide east... The POS Vort got shredded more and more as guidance got to go time and there was less forcing during the overnite hours (i.e None) . Just look at the 850 low open up and go poof by midnight last nite....36-48 hours ago this was forecast to at least by closed at that level. The Cold high pressing could have aided in the increased shredding of the vort but ya now we spring
  16. They are way oversold. But you know the Market is taking what the Fed gave them. So i think it can continue unless we see a stock market plunge which may give yields a large bid. Recall Powell weeks ago ..." Higher rates are good, and we won't step in " (not saying Powell should) but that was a giant Nod to investment banks and hedge funds to load up nearly risk free (on top of a stimulus passage) and short the heck out of treasury's and Treasury Net short Positions swelled dramatically as they did just that. The Fed isn't stepping in to reverse that and the ECB is pretty impotent to alter US yields so i think the pressure on bonds can be sustained unless a sizable equity plunge causes a flight to the relative short term safety on treasuries. But who knows...they are extremely oversold...short term it seems if yields can fall back l to 1.6 on equity strength and maybe a fed governor will get the green light to burp the sound of future ...maybe ..possibly "yield curve control" the Nasdaq will reclaim it's 50 Day Moving average and only the high momentum /insanely valued Tech /EV stocks will lag as rest of market rises.
  17. This guy is the best with short term market plays . The market has a decision to make ..right now . Either new yearly lows for Nasdaq or new all time highs. Nasdaq has broken away from all the other indexes and lots its multi month bullish trend trend line thanks to rising Yield and Powell seemingly pushing for rising yields (which to me has been baffling ) . Powell has telegraphed to hedge funds that they can freely short treasuries and he will watch . https://northmantrader.com/2021/03/18/dropping-the-hammer/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
  18. Pretty solid article (month) old from a “Legend” who has seen it all. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4404130-grantham-calls-epic-bubble-putting-70-stocks-under-valuation-microscope I Would say the bubble could go on as long as the Fed steps in when interest rates in credit markets get volatile
  19. Was a thread The needle setup. Seen models fooled 24-36 hrs out with that before Even the EPS. Moisture Shunted south Is a common outcome
  20. Shocking was pretty obvious the squash was on table Im sure 0z on hour Euro run will crush ...mmm no
  21. Well...I like to chase milfs and snow. I haven't had any desire to chase NNE anything in months. It's been a below average year. Along the upslope spine it's hard for them to swing and miss (this year hasn't been good for them but its been "ok") others in NNE are likely Below average.. Anyone who doesn't live in Upslope Land and missed the big ML fronto that went from South Central Vermont over to South Central to Central NH is probably in the Below normal category. Your area Phin seemed to stand out early to mid season (even missing the ML fronto bomb) but has been lack luster for the last month plus (even with Bread and butter light) where as Maine....they gotta be solidly below average. I don't think i'm saying anything news worthy...just attempting to state things matter of factually with regard to averages not feelings. Maybe someone like Alex is doing a tad better ...I haven't checked in for a while.
  22. I'm betting on another "euro fail" with a good 50-60 mile south adjustment at 48 hours.
  23. When was the last synoptic storm to produce a warning event in NNE
  24. Should be a bloody day in Nasdaq Markets near all time highs can’t take the prospect of Fed chair Powell even contemplating a rate hike from 0 to .25 in 2023
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