STILL N OF PIKE

I mean ..people should just look at the bright side that vaccines are flying into peoples arms at rapid rates and this disaster is almost over .

Wood is Brilliant , I am a fan .She saw the innovative landscape taking shape and she saw a monetary policy very accommodating for young growth stocks in several sectors . She is launching ARKX this quarter I own a Bunch of NPA , SRAC (likely to be included and spike when news hits ). If the Fed ever announced it was considering Yield curve control (capping 10 year yields ) these growth stocks would “go to the moon”

I can see what you are saying w Wood. People do tend to put the top money managers on a pedestal . Regarding tremendous difficulty allocating folks funds for the next decade I would probably focus on companies like GOOG / AMZN / AMD/NVDA and just keep an eye on competition and change allocations according To any large deviations in valuations.. as well as buy on market dips but I don’t have that sort of capital (GOOG 2000$/share) and to be honest I would also enjoy a more aggressive active strategy

Sometimes I wonder if novice reads my post I could care less about broad market returns and Decade long changes in interest rates in the 70’s and 80’s What in the .....Does that have to do with my point he highlighted ..we had a business cycle back then ..I.E the Fed didn’t intervene ..never mind support assets with “all of its tools”. We will never see a fed funds rate of 3% or more in this current monetary system.. ever . Im taking about the 100’s If not thousands of companies with tiny or zero earnings trading at huge valuations thanks to Short term interest rates being pinned at zero and 10 year yield having been much less than SP dividend yield ..thus leading the mantra of TINA (there is no other option ) which has pushed valuations higher . This is not the atmosphere that was present in 70’s and 80’s ..it’s painful . I don’t need to repeat myself 5x is someone refuses to “get it “. The reason why all these growth companies Are more significant this time is because the amount of disruptive technology in several sectors is driving the innovation That is replacing existing tech over the next 15 years . Robotics , automation , fintech, Gene sequencing , ev Battery storage , innovative mining extraction techniques and on and on . You could probably just listen to the top money manager in 2020 (Cathy Wood) explain why her funds (very high growth / valuations) would be a prime example of stocks under the gun if we we enter a rising yield world (we won’t for long imo bc the fed would intervene ) And that would be a nice buying opportunity once you set aside the companies whose Extreme revenue projections are Actually met and who will scale up to be industry leaders .

Jet engine . We roar

Did 2018 have historic valuations . That is the issue . Did 2018 have “TINA” . Apples and oranges . I’m speaking for sectors that have record valuations . Rising yields are horrible for speculative growth stocks w sky high valuations .When the earnings and dividend yield on SP 500 falls and Competes With the yield on bonds people lose T.I.N.A (there is no other option ) Stocks that have most of their value from not current but future revenue from many years ahead are killed when yields rise. It’s Really not a debate in any serious circles . Meanwhile cyclicals are favored (Banks / industrials / Real estate ) Today we see yields fall back combined with buy the dip being the most rewarding strategy of last 11 months and thankfully we spike 2% . If valuations were not record breaking in several sectors then rising yields wouldn’t be such a potential issue In those areas . There is a case to be made yields fall back a tad more or remain steady from here, especially as wage increases/amendments were taken out of stimulus bill today

I honestly have no idea with DIS, they saw a amazing run since Early November (for such a mature company) as long as their valuation is still fair seems ok. It's just such a key week. The market has broke upward every single time they have touched the bottom rail of this 11 month rising channel, but i mean that only last for so long and if that breaks to the downside..everything is going on sale. One note on Yields.. bc when they rise..they are driving the shakiness in stocks (i.e the repricing of stocks to a less historic valuation) . You saw the most bubbly stocks hit first...many EV makers...then Green Energy storage companies...really anyone who was devoid of current earnings and deriving most of their projected revenue years out in the future..(hyper growth stocks with no earnings/ Spacs) . There is so much liquidity in this market that you can track the last 8 months of bond yield movements (10 yr-30 yr bond) and when that yield was not rising you saw those Hyper growth stocks (w zero or most of their future earnings in distant years ) rise very quickly... then January 6 or so ....https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd10y?countrycode=bx you see a inflection point and yields rose quickly beginning the Pressure build up on the bubbly valuation stocks and that has hit EV Makers, Some Green energy sweethearts, and last week some bubbly e commerce sites like Shop/Meli/Etsy and many others and that was enough to start to sink the Overall Markets. edit. The fact that minimum wage and any amendment to that was Just pulled from Stimulus bill removes a large driver on future Real inflation (inflation that could actually occur and not the pipe dream the market has been warning about for 15 years) and could be a catalyst to see yields fall back . If that is the case the market resumes its rocket upward.

Futures are up as Market is Seeing Longer dated bond yields fall. Those bonds were extremely oversold so a pullback was likely . Last coupe hours on Friday saw 5-10% move down in yields . It would be a sort of a nervous rally bc stocks are acting more reactive to bond yield movement compared to the Other 11 months of rally when that was not a concern at all . In the sense of any rally is a bit shakier bc should we see bond yields rise up quickly (within hours -they had a mind of their own last week ) markets will build pressure very quickly to sell off (reprice historic valuations lower) As there is a inverse relationship between interest rates and Stock valuations

How far below Normal is Mansfield this year on its Snow depth and accumulations chart. I haven't followed that area particularly closely for last 5 weeks but that is also because i believe there have been a lack of good up slope snow last month. I wouldn't be shocked if this was one of their leaner years just going on a hunch. Seems Phin has done better than anyone In NNE relative to ave.

Your Body type break down was entertaining and Seems pretty accurate Based on what I believe . However, if the * goal is success * and not being distracted by others easier paths , then you have to eat for your “dominant body type” Endo’s - avoid processed carbohydrates- and high alcohol .minimize them . Eat lean proteins , healthy fats . Maximize those .Alcohol will raise estrogen and endos already run a tad high there . Push the intensity in your workouts w Cardio and weights . Intermittent fasting is a easier way to do this for the “busy” person . The hardest path is for the Ecto-Endo. Longer / thinner muscle bellies but still somewhat wider hips with a tendency to store fat on torso . Best for them to follow the endo dominant plan unless they are trying to Look like a lineman.

Was nice to see some snow falling for a few hours this morning.

Good that you allow your kids to interact responsibly . So many are depressed and isolated this year.

It's sort of staring folks right in the face. The Fed is the reason for all the liquidity and the crowded long trade that may begin to unwind here. Chair Powell also made it clear he did not intend to step in (more than they already are) and do anything about rising yields (that make borrowing rates higher to consumers) * Bc they seethem as fulfilling their forecast /desire for letting inflation run a little hot And especially as added confidence in the market pricing in more of a recovery. Its ironic in a sense that as the economy was in the toilet and interest rates were extremely low the stock market was soaring and now (unless the Fed steps in-and they made it seem like they won't unless there is carnage) as the economy picks up again the stock market is looking vulnerable. If you look at valuations and adjust them lower due to rising interest rates....and take into account the market almost always overshoots in whatever direction it is moving...it should be a wild ride next week . The Trend line from last April's rally into Mid February has a ...well just look at this chart. The line in the sand on SP 500 is 3770 ...we break that and Free falling comes on The Nasdaq closed below it's 50 Day moving ave. and the SP 500 (ES)(SPX) bounced of its 50 day around 1030 am. The market crapped itself around 350 P.M before the close. Now with all the liquidity the market could do anything from here, I don't mean to act like i "Know" where it's going but we have a key (NEW) situation where the FED is for the first time in the year long rally the PROBLEM and it views the Yield rise (markets problem) as a GOOD THING that confirms the fed is doing its job in orchestrating a economic recovery. There are 6 Fed governors that speak next week and they will likely be spewing the same .."yields rising is a confirmation the economy is recovering" . This should send the market on its AZZ unless they find the wiggle room to change their mind prior to the market breaking the trend line above. The rising yields are a global issue and the Europeans are not so jolly about the movement as the rise in borrowing rates is choking off their recovery before it even gets going...they may break ranks with the FED and try to stop the rise..but the US Bond market is the biggest market in the whole financial system by a large degree so it sorta steers the boat. To add one final counter point ..there is the chance that this rising yield trade is nearly exhausted and or that the Fed will act clandestinely to bring rates down thru direct unannounced purchases to avoid asset price falls and to avoid acting like they are panicked about rising rates (and to save markets confidence in them) either one of these would likely save the market from a break below the key support measures.

I do have a couple holds . I sold many of my stocks last week. First 3 are E 3 metals (EEMMF) Standard Lithium (STLHF) American Manganese (AMZYF) I hold a ton of lithium miners but not married to them I also like PWON and ADN for energy storage and plan on holding

Trading some names definitely, holding others . But also just very interested and imo aware of policy implications and current issues . Systematic issues in a highly leveraged market dependent on growing intervention to keep asset levels ..perpetually elevated to ensure solvent pensions and household balance sheets Anyway , we will see when Fed acts .

The market has Very likely made a top . Until or Without more intervention Further Out on yield curve (To depress the 10 year bond ) there is likely continued trouble and falling asset Values. Choppy price action

I would agree it does. The problem is such a tremendous amount of leverage on the long side that there isn't much middle ground between a flash crash and New all time highs. Sorta booby trapped. If Fed doesn't intervene with talking 10 year rates down (the world over) as market throws its tanturm ....then there is a sizable tail risk from a very fast downturn

markets tanking Very hard right now ....yes on Yields ...and lack of care the Fed is paying to the market tantrum. This is the bed the Fed has made for markets thru endless intervention and if they choose not to intervene with rising global yields via at least talking them down (which they are not) then asset values fall, interest rates rise and its potentially setting the stage of a trap where growth slows and rates rise

The 3 people i know that had a small but noticeable reaction from the (pfizer/ moderna) first shot were "down" for a day and a half After the second shot. I.E not working/laying in bed. Then all 3 were better after second day after second shot. I know 2 people who had no reaction after first shot or second shot. I know one lady who has a shell fish allergy who went into shock and was in hospital for a couple days after first shot, she is frightened to get her second. The shell fish allergy response is known to be the one real very serious issue. 5 out of these 6 people i work with as a personal trainer so i speak with this group frequently.

Yields rising very fast in every country . Europe central bank “ we are monitoring this very closely “ United States Central Bank “ this can be seen as a sign of confidence Lol . So much liquidity in this market that it will go anywhere money can be made and highest volumes are showing traders are driving them up . Powell somehow talked for 6 hours last two days without one moron from congress asking him a direct question about what he is willing to do to keep Business and consumer borrowing costs (Tied to 10 year yield )accommodative . Amazing . Nasdaq down 1% and other markets Just Turing red . Not much wiggle room Here between down Big and up To new all time high depending on when this is answered by fed .

What a hilarious timing coincidence as GME soars once again hahaha. They can't handle paying out options again if this closes above 150 on Friday.

I always trim my position by at least half if a stock doubles within a week or so on no major news . Because usually day traders will sell it off (unless there was major news) . And then if i like it a lot i buy it back when it comes down to it's 20 day moving average. But anyway ya i think many of these will go up for a while over time and watching these and trading em is time consuming. That has happened in literally 50-100 lithium /graphite / uranium and nickel small caps in last month. My watch list has grown so long that TD won't update my watch list with real time quotes until i cut it back by like 10 names.

The market seemed to digest the higher yields so far by selling off E comm/ TECH (and Utilities today) especially in names w super high valuation like AMZN/ SHOPIFY / MELI but Energy Sector has really been a Beast lately. Its interesting how BIG money is always rotating into different sectors as the market makes it's journey and it seems many long time successful traders have tracked Big money inflows by sector and made moves when the SP 500 bounces off lower resistance bands within uptrends or breaks above resistance levels (and bought at those times into the hot sectors) . Its one of the tried and true strategies (i.e profitable long term but not infalliable). Most predictable within established Bull markets like now. DNN is a miner and the small caps in the energy sector have been red hot. You have commodity prices increasing at a time when small cap stocks have been making new highs and money has been flowing into Energy. Money is also JUST NOW ready to flowing back into Semiconductors. China has recently threatened to withhold rare earth miners and Semi conductor chips so really any small to micro cap mining stock for lithium, graphite, uranium, nickel has done well ..its actually hard to find ONE of those miners's that hasn't tripled in last 4 months so at this point you gotta actually look to find one that still has much room from here. Regarding Semi conductor manufacturer stocks ..any (with a recent earnings beat) (AMAT/ AOSL/ FORM/COHU has been a primo risk -reward today. You have the administration focused on preparing to focus on amplifying our Supply in case China acts on veiled threats . Here .. Your entry price is a huge deal ...and ridiculously so when buying options..so the dip yesterday am and this morning were exceptional opportunities. Some fell 20% on the panic selling....so that was the time to buy ..when there was "blood in the streets" . *There is just still such a high risk because the 10 year bond yields are like 3% away from a key 1.44 level and FED CHIEF Papa powell didn't do squat to lower those yields (i.e say the fed was going to step in to monetize them to cap the rates and keep main street borrowing costs lower for a favorable recovery) but it's like the market which wants to run higher (because everyone is long) just likes to hear his soothing voice the last two days (he had two 3 hour scheduled speaking engagements) and he literally soothes the markets. The markets fell HARD both mornings for the 30 minutes after open before he began yapping at 10am. Now the markets are going the next few days without him to talk them up for 3 hours a day and if yields rise fast (which they are steadily and can turn on a dime ) we WILL sell off again (Maybe in more than just tech stocks) extremely fast. Historically stock prices fall 7-8 faster than they rise. I.E a few months gains can be wiped out in a few days. Its madness right now.

There was none...just like last time. Just a planned attack. I'm looking at FUBO calls tommorrow. Stock popped( doubled ) last time there was GME run up (from 28 to 62 $) and not only did it not fall back much but it stayed above it's 50 day moving average... is 40$ currently and has a 50$ price target due to increased revenue from Sports gaming and it just is about to bounce as it's at its 50 day moving average. This thing could go to 70 easily should the shorts close shop and this see near the volume it did last time. Calls expiring this Friday are cheap so it would be a 2 day play . Also PETS

i can't believe game stop again. Its all in the call options . Forget just buying the stock. Millionaires made again today with 10 thousand dollars. I don't know of any other way to do that legal or not in this world. GME has done it twice now. Was 50$ this morning...call options w 100 strike price expiring this friday were like 25$ per option. If this opens at 170$ Thursday... those calls w 100 Strike should open at 7000$ per option. This was driven by insane volume and some folks bought Hundreds of calls today for 25$ per. Do the math . Now whoever bought at the BOTTOM will get the reddit retail traders to be future bag holders as they buy late. IF Robinhood allowed call options in GME again they will probably go bankrupt now.