the_other_guy

I went thru the Queens tornadoes a few years ago. Went right thru Bayside. I have never seen a T storm with the intensity of the one pushing through western Westcheter right now. The sky was lit up like noon, trees swaying, torrential rain. It lasted around 15 minutes. Glad to see it go. Frankly, it was scary

49 this morning. Coldest morning yet

Sprain, Bronx River, Hutch, Saw Mill Pkwys all have sections closed for flooding. Rain has been relentless between moderate and heavy since noon.

Central Ave in Westchester at 1pm. 59 degrees, heavy rain. Heat is on

I understand the dynamics going on in the background....But these statements are very early on and speculative.

Wasnt this 7 day stretch supposed to be 7 AN? I like sexy, skimpy halloween costumes... but dont know if I believe the forecast yet

Correct. Sept-thru Dec seems most effected. The back-loaded winter has been effected by two record Februarys in a row. To answer your question Long Beach, there is a lot of good stuff on here. The LR speculation updated every few days isnt very accurate. More importantly, if we are looking at AN/BN months, it fails to account for extremes like last September or January (which seems to be happening with greater frequency) that start out with a record in one direction, end with a record in a different direction and on paper come out...normal. Was last winter a torch? Surely 6 weeks of above normal temps would indicate that, right? Except, it wasn't.

You guys make me laugh. Especially with that LR forecast that gets posted every day. Last year we were told in November that every month until May was a torch. I particularly liked that post. I remember it well every time I read a LR forecast post. I remembered it well as I was trying to thaw pipes on New Years Day. And I remembered in during the record warm February...and the subsequent March snows. Put the fall jackets and snow shovels away boys. It ain’t happenin...

Anyone else noticing the opposite effect of too much rain on trees? Leaves that were lush a month ago are browing. Trees that were full are thinning...I could now see the street down the hill. I believe We’ve had too much rain and not enough sun

No offense, people die from an inch of snow or a wet roadway after 5 minutes of rain. Just humanity and luck (or lack of it) The hurricane shouldnt be minimized...but this is what happens when you have cable news, social media and the EVIL weather channel hyping things up for ratings day after day. ”Why Florence is a storm like no other” from cnn.com the other day. Every hurricane that hits the US now is the biggest, baddest, most scary storm ever...and it never rained this much or moved this slow and and and... Or it is a Category 1 storm hitting the Outer Banks. And it will suck. And there will be some damage. And some people will need to be rescued. And some people didnt leave. And some people will die. And there will be flooding. And , yes, there will be storm surge! And it isnt unusal...for a hurricane...in North Carolina...at all.

Only people from the neighborhood know “Old Howard Beach” with its one way streets all pointed in a convenient direction to keep outsiders out. Forget Hamilton Beach!

How many Septembers in a row well above normal now? 4? 5? I’m negating cool start last year as Mother Nature negated it and then some. Scary times ahead for fall lovers

It is more than the UHI. The increased moisture content in the air slows the temp swings. Dry air heats and cools faster. Throw in the UHI and you get morning temps a few degrees either side of 80 in NYC. The big story of this summer is not the heat, but the relentless dewpoints. It leads to higher low temps, steamier day time temps and increased convective activity. If, and I say if, this is what NY summers look like in the future...we are in for a world of hurt. You can imagine entire summers without getting below 70, with many evenings staying around 80. Scary stuff

Very large temp swings this morning from the north to the city. Of course, 9am straightens it all out. Nonetheless, it is alarming how warm the city and immediate areas have been staying at night. I know the reasons, but it is still alarming.

Big difference in cost and time between protective dune systems and the proposed barrier. Mandatory higher building codes and more barriers near tunnels is the way to go. Why should 50 year old houses in Port Washington take the brunt for protecting new developments at a Domino Plant in Hipsterville? These are the complicating human questions coming in the future.

Is this the summer month many of us feared? We were all wondering when one of the +7 months would hit in July or August. Could this be the start or will it fizzle out? I cant help but think how brutally cold January started this year...and how tamely it ended.

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