the_other_guy

Very bad roads up here. 3 inches already

You say that with such certainty. The LR forecasts havent exactly been spot on over last 30 days

Too early in season. could jinx our whole season if history is any guide.

27 this morning. 32 line down to the northern Bronx. 40 crossing Whitestone Bridge. 37 with frost at JFK. It is amazing how cold FOK gets and how hard it is to get cold in the LGA area.

Haha. I have heard good things about the Ariens as well. A bit less known amongst the masses...But rated very well

First time this season I’m approaching freezing at 9pm. Colder than last night

I would just stick with manual ignition. one less thing to break haha

Honda is the best but very expensive. Toro is the workhorse that the everyman seems to have. I have a two stage toro manual start. Steep hill...self propel works great.

Isnt anyone in that restaurant worried about being in water with electricity all around them? That was my first thought.

I know we are out one week...but I have never seen such conflicting TV forecasts for next Saturday. 49 to 67 for highs. Im assuming the new/old run differential is in play here

Driving through Queens today… Anybody else notice how astounding the colors are? I can’t remember a nicer day if you want to see color around the city. And right on schedule if not slightly early

It’s been freezing for 3 weeks. Enjoy the 48hour break!

Coldest night of season thus far (which surprised me) 34 degrees with frost.

Actually there is a correlation. That El Nino winter with the record blizzard was the one time with any significant snow. If you didn’t have that blizzard, Central Park would’ve recorded 2 inches of snow that winter. Go back and look at the records of every time it has snowed before the final week in November. The winter that followed was bad if you liked snow. I don’t know if it’s a pure coincidence or if it’s reflective on a pattern...But that’s what history tells us in New York City

Isnt there a statistic... If we get a significant measurable snow before the last week of November, it has always led to a below normal snowfall winter? That said, if you like snowy winters, history tells us you dont want to see snow now.

Statistically, that isnt correct. It has been below normal (so far) 12-13 days this month depending on location around region

It has been well below normal for two weeks. Similar pattern to Sept 17 Jan 18. To say this month has been “warm” is glossing over a new situation. We are having zero sum months or months with minor negative/positive departures that are characterized by two extreme air masses negating each other. A new exterme in a decade of extremes.

38. No frost

Sharp cutoff in that Oct 2011 storm around Maspeth, Queens. Everything east of that got little to nothing. We had to shovel in Park Slope. It all melted the next day

More banter, but also relevant given the patterns we have seen twice in the last 13 months: Anyone else worried about the extreme flip pattern from Sept 2017 and January 2018 returning after this cool snap? If that pattern holds, mid November, thru much of December would be AN, correct? I believe that we are expecting an El Nino December as well...

Why isnt anyone talking about the cool (seasonal) day tomorrow that seemed to pop up over last 24 hours? This is no longer 4 straight days of 80, correct?

Clearing in Eastern Suffolk. Wonder if temps overperform out this way? Already 69F El Nino usually makes coast wetter and warmer than normal with chances for big storms (and if timing is right) snow. Usually back loaded winters with warm starts. That scary December without a day below freezing in NYC was a strong El Nino.

Starting to see color on the leaves in central Westchester. Today is the first day that I really notice it in the wooded areas… The nights with low temperatures in the 50s have helped. So I don’t think the colors will be necessarily late. This is a nice September weather we’re having. Not like it is been in the 80s. (although that may come Sunday) It is shocking how warm the overnight lows have been within the city limits on top of the already warm low temps region wide.

I went thru the Queens tornadoes a few years ago. Went right thru Bayside. I have never seen a T storm with the intensity of the one pushing through western Westcheter right now. The sky was lit up like noon, trees swaying, torrential rain. It lasted around 15 minutes. Glad to see it go. Frankly, it was scary

49 this morning. Coldest morning yet