Wonderdog
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Everything posted by Wonderdog
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What do you mean by the 5 day?
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Don't worry. Everybody has said to wait until about Thursday for the confluence to exit a little more. We're right where we want to be five, six, or seven days out.
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This one is and will continue to be nerve racking. I like the trends from overnight. Just hope everyone is right about the old GFS.
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Maybe we should hope for that lobe to continue to move SW and actually interact with our storm. Is that one of many possibilities?
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The longer we wait for this storm to possibly reach the area, the worse odds we have. Hurry Up!!!!
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Looks to have decided to go north.
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Keep the faith, for at least the next couple of hours. We have to stop the bleeding.
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Agreed. The FV3 run was good enough for me for early December.
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I'll go a small step further. If you're right about the 12z runs and you very well may be, I think this storm is toast. Seems to me we need the 12z runs to correct the 6z runs right away which would relegate the 6z runs to a "blip".
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Bristow , warm up that Wrangler.
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Now time to retrograde back to O.C.
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Faster arrival of the storm looks like a good thing.
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To this untrained eye, looks like approx. 24 hours of light to moderate snow from the FV3.
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NWS calling for rain and snow on Saturday.
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Let's keep this info on the down lo.
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I think the quote is "Weenie life isn't for the faint of heart". Showing my confidence, I went to Lowe's and picked up a new snow blower!
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Bristow, I think so too. I'll feel better on Tuesday if we're still in the game.
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Would having that NS energy a little faster help to bring the primary further north?
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Great post!
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Can someone describe the track?
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FV3 has another storm hugging the coast on Dec 11/12 that doesn't make it up to us but it's close on 6z. I didn't like the old GFS showing the cutter on the 10th though. I didn't see the 0z run until just now. Now I would take that and run with it.
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Or 144 for that matter.
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Hr. 288 looks nice. Snowing with lp just off NC coast.
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Two weeks ago, if that, the long range guidance looked spectacular and both the GEFS and EPS were in lockstep. Now, the long range guidance looks pretty bad. I really don't know how anyone can trust the long range models.
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Now turn NE
