I have a question. It seems that the storm actually hits a brick wall when the precipitation field tries to enter Missouri. Is that more a result of the HP that is north of the storm or the NS confluence. Seems to me that if that HP would back off a bit, the storm could gain some latitude before it reaches the east coast thereby expanding the precipitation field and then allowing the precipitation to reach DC.
What will be interesting to eventually learn is whether the effect of the NS is overdone like many have said during this annoying hobby and we do score something with the move to the north.
I guess it depends on what we each consider to be jumpy. Plus I could be wrong. I haven't done a check but it just seems that the GFS has been south of us the majority of the time.