Maybe it can trend enough to get mix on late Sunday night/Monday morning. Secondary pops near OC, NJ at GFS 12z as opposed to se of NYC at 6z. Both are further north than the 12z NAM, which is around the Delmarva. Keep trending!
Great write- up guys. Dumbing it down for me, is the track of the storm (nw to se) also a problem since the wind direction fails to tap any cold air? Seems to be acting like a clipper which we haven't had much luck with lately.
Be nice to see the lp pass over sw VA . Plenty of time for that. Would like to see some snow falling on Sunday while I watch my beloved IGGLES bask in the Miami sunshine.
Comparing 18z to 12z, seems the redeveloping LP is further sw and somewhat larger at 18z . Am I reading this correctly and if so, does it mean anything significant as to its evolution?
The new toy was great! I was looking at the FV3 and there are couple of storms on there that's gonna really test the new toy lol. Looks to be busy in January.
I recall that in 1972 driving back to WDC from Mount St. Mary's in a raging snowstorm one night in probably February only to reach the beltway and see it change to rain in a New York minute.