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Wonderdog

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Everything posted by Wonderdog

  1. What do you attribute that to, if I may ask?
  2. I agree 100%. If we were to get on a heater starting in Feb and have three or four 3-5 inch events with a 6-10 inch storm over a six week period, no one except Ji would complain lol. I think that's doable.
  3. An incursion of colder air at around hour 300 on the FV-3; a day or two later on the GFS.
  4. Maybe but it's around the time you have been talking about for changes to take place.
  5. OK, OK, it's my fault. Bristow told me that buying a snow blower would be the kiss of death but I went out and did it anyway. So for the sake of everyone on this thread, I will be returning the snow blower tonight. We should be seeing better results starting with the 0z runs overnight, especially with the EPS!
  6. 372 had mid Atlantic snow I didn't count that because it was a suppressed system and as everyone knows, they never trend north.
  7. 6z runs show no frozen for the mid Atlantic for the next 15 days.
  8. The weather gods don't believe in hope, insurance, or law of averages.
  9. I'm assuming that you haven't waited for a snowstorm to use that Jeep. I on the other hand.....
  10. Just to show you that I believe in the upcoming pattern change, tomorrow I will not only put the oil into the SB, I will peruse the manual.
  11. Also, if you didn't already know, 28 days in Feb, unless it's leap year then its one more day to wait for the pattern shift. lol
  12. On top of the last 2 weeks we took off? Then it'll be time for the January thaw.
  13. 6z GFS has a 24+ hour snowstorm in a week for DC area. Great H5 pass but .... Don't get me wrong it's great to have a storm to track but I hope we'll be tracking for more than one model cycle.
  14. With the erratic model outputs, whose to say if the Pacific is really awful or not? Maybe it's not awful, maybe it's just shi&&y.
  15. What happened to the coastal storm chances increasing when the -NAO is switching to positive? And with the model volatility and the SOI stuff going on, I'm hanging with the Jan. 3rd/4th storm until Tuesday.
  16. And of course there's the usual GL lp to muck things up.
  17. If that storm were to take southeasterly track and then move up the coast wouldn't that mitigate all of our problems and get us into a more northerly wind direction thus possibly bringing in colder air?
  18. The projected forecasts for late Jan into Feb remains the same in Sutherland's posts as what people here have been saying for weeks here.
  19. Well that takes us close to Jan 15th and that is when our winter is supposed to begin. Patience.
  20. Fv-3 delivers a stalled LP around the 9th which is either cut off or just blocked for 2 days. 500's look nice for that storm. Not only that, FV-3 has snow on our doorstep on Jan 3rd, just as NAO is supposed to go positive. Well we have a couple of possibilities to track, at least till the 12z runs.
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