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Wonderdog

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Everything posted by Wonderdog

  1. Late next week, the AO may plummet or it may not. The chart is more or less evenly split on what it does. Hope it picks down.
  2. Can I get a quick analysis of the depiction at hour 174 at the 500 vort level? With that yellow streak moving over us, why no precip? Are they just undeveloped pockets of energy?
  3. 0z GFS has a look of an overrunning situation IF a few changes takes place around 1/4/19.
  4. If there is a phase, that might be a big arse snowstorm, if the timing is right.
  5. I'm not either. That's what I think it shows now. A slightly stronger HP than it was at 12z. Will be fun tracking this one.
  6. Next week is trending better on the 12z GFS. I think I'll put the oil into the new toy tomorrow. And no, I don't underestimate our penchant for failure.
  7. FV3 gives us three opportunities and we miss to the north and west on the first two and then miss to the south and east on the third. Call me skeptical but even with our usual lack of luck, I find it hard to believe we get shut out, especially on the 3rd one.
  8. Very random flurry activity in Gainesville. Very random.
  9. We need a mod for this supposed good pattern coming up in a few months.
  10. How well do the weeklies usually do? Are there verification scores for them?
  11. Jackson reminds me of Randall Cunningham. He actually seems to be improving at a fast pace.
  12. Less digging at H5 on the NYE storm at 6z. Hope that's a blip and not a step back.
  13. Based on the analysis from the trusted vets on this board, I would be stunned if we don't score a modest event by Jan 10th.
  14. I know it's a combination of things but is the trough over Alaska the number one key to our good winter storm patterns? In other words, are we s.o.l. without it?
  15. LOL. Don't worry, your account will move "north" after New Years and I'll be making spare change with my new toy!
  16. The dog can't be held responsible for weenie enthusiasm on the second day of winter.
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