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eduggs

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Everything posted by eduggs

  1. Big hydro problems from MD to EPA. Fortunately this thing is moving pretty quick. Axis of heaviest rain stayed just west of the metros. Looks like one or two quick shots of tors as the main feeder band spins through and then a few hours of very gusty winds.
  2. 50mph winds are damaging. And there could be wind damage tomorrow. But most of these forecast wind charts are way overdone, as they almost always are. 6-8" of rain in 3 hours would cause some serious flooding problems in parts of NJ. I think that could be the bigger concern tomorrow. But the relatively short duration could spare the area. Gotta watch frontal interaction out ahead of the main storm.
  3. So you can get some strong gusts down to the surface. But still nothing like over open water where there is virtually no friction with the sea surface.
  4. Those UK wind gust charts do not look reliable. Winds will be much stronger over open water than over land (outside isolated spin ups or atop exposed ridges). Those charts appear to be low resolution and well overdone.
  5. Snowflakes in the air next weekend on the 0z GFS. Looks like there would be accumulations above about 1000ft N&W. Impressive upper levels for this time of year.
  6. Some of the biggest back then are respected red taggers now. Which is weird. Some have grown and learned, others are still . It seemed more fun back then with fewer models, fewer off-hour runs, lower model resolution, and no twitter.
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