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Chicago Storm

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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Chicago Storm
    12z UKMET also with a jump back west once again. Evolution aloft is different, so the SLP actually tracks from Des Moines-Chicago-Detroit. .
  2. Chicago Storm
    The 12z GFS is a full out blizzard, with 50-70KT at 925mb on the backside of the SLP. This would lead to surface wind gusts of 50-70MPH. .
  3. Chicago Storm
    12z GEM with a big jump back west as well, after the hiccup east on the 0z run. Trough digs in much further west and is slower, allowing the the Canada lobe to retreat north and increase ridging ahead of the main wave/trough. .
  4. Chicago Storm
    The digging further south is kind of a mirage. The main wave is more so coming in digging a bit further west, with better trough tilt. Also a bit more ridging ahead of the wave/trough across the Eastern US, and better separation between the main wave/trough and the lobe in S Canada. .
  5. Chicago Storm
    0z Euro the only OP guidance not to move SE in any significant fashion. A bit less amped, which altered things a bit though.
  6. Chicago Storm
    Trend on all 0z OP guidance has been SE overall. This is mainly due to changes in handling of the PV lobe in Canada, ridging ahead of the incoming wave/building trough and changes in ridging building into the West Coast.
  7. Chicago Storm
    There could be, but it highly depends on the track of the SLP.
  8. Chicago Storm
    If things go as most current guidance suggests, I definitely would not recommend flying in on the 22nd. Kuchera output will be useless for most places with this storm system, as depicted on current guidance. Projected strong winds will create lower snow ratios. .
  9. Chicago Storm
    The sweeping front across the Central US is inevitable, and most definitely is an integral piece, providing a sharp baroclinic zone. The 12z Euro from yesterday probably had the best available moisture feed out of any Euro run thus far. They have mostly been similar overall, though. .
  10. Chicago Storm
    Having the main wave and trough dig deeper into the Central US or having a slower progression would be two ways to improve that, especially since the weak lead wave and the early week storm system are unlikely to magically disappear. However, if any of the two aforementioned changes were go occur, it could lead to radically different solutions. .
  11. Chicago Storm
    This is a very good point. The lead wave really hinders a deeper Gulf influence. Without that, things could really get out of hand. .
  12. Chicago Storm
    .
  13. Chicago Storm
    i give you our world class GFS model. the worthless pos it is.
  14. Chicago Storm
    We’ve reached the point where it’s safe to say this is going to be a hybrid storm system for our region. Whether it ends up a more/less amplified version is still yet to be seen, but there’s no chance at this being a clipper, no chance of it being some sort of PH/CO hooker/cutter and no chance of it being a miss SE/E from a full on EC storm.
  15. Chicago Storm
    that’s definitely more than a dusting for all. .
  16. Chicago Storm
    Additional waves of -SN the rest of Friday added up to an additional 0.9”. So for the day on Friday, total snowfall accumulation was 1.3” at ORD. That’s a two day (Thur/Fri) snowfall total of 1.7” at ORD. .
  17. Chicago Storm
    hmm, is that still the case? .
  18. Chicago Storm
    it happened too many times to count. .
  19. Chicago Storm
    On that note, warm air occlusion and 925mb winds of 65-75KT on the W/NW side of the storm system. About as a significant solution you can see around these parts. Check out some soundings west of the storm system as well, tropopause down to near 700mb.
  20. Chicago Storm
    still a significant solution though, nonetheless. very spread the wealth too, actually. nearly no shot in hell that would verify, but even enough for me to comment on it at this distance.
  21. Chicago Storm
    i'm surprised there wasn't more mention of the 12z euro than there has been.
  22. Chicago Storm
    Added another 0.1" during the later evening yesterday, for a snowfall total of 0.4" at ORD yesterday. Already 0.4" of snow at ORD so far today as of noon, with some decent waves/bursts of snow moving through, with move on the way throughout the day.
  23. Chicago Storm
    .
  24. Chicago Storm
    lol. .
  25. Chicago Storm
    Vertically stacked low, from the surface up to above 250mb, spinning over the MSP area. .
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