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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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lol I thought they were prank or crank calling you after the predictions massively busted.
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it did here, a year later.....on the same date?
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oh lovely, I wonder if the March 2001 predictions were similar.
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prank calls or crank calls ?!
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same 4-5" we got here lol
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they lowered the city total from 1.6" to 1.0" WTF
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Sounds absolutely scenic! We might have to make a mountain for you too lol, Mt. Surf Freak
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we got freezing rain on the first day of the storm and 4" on the back end. Patchogue got a foot of snow on the back end. NYC public schools closing in advance was absolutely comical.
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What kept the storm from being closer to the coast and/or developing sooner?
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We got as much as we could out of it. I'm glad it lingered all night and even into the morning. That's a lot better than most storms which only give us a few snow showers on the backside.
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I have 64 GB of photos and videos to prove it, it was an amazing 36 hour all out blizzard that even outlasted the predictions. The snow just kept falling. First time I've experienced a 3" LE all snow event.
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I dont think the NWS ever lived down those monster totals they predicted for the Jan 2015 storm. Good thing Jan 2016 happened to make up for it (sorry it didn't hit you also.)
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the ocean temp was 31 lol first time in my life I've seen freezing drizzle because of a sea breeze.....
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They were analogging this storm to March 2001 before it started, I wonder if that will end up being an appropriate analog?
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14-15 was a lot better (it was colder and snowier) than 13-14. How was the evolution different between those two winters? 14-15 would have been ideal if the peak of the storms was a bit further to the south and to the west. It went from a lackluster first half to near historic second half.
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that's the first time I've ever seen an alert for a marine heatwave posted lol.
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what exactly changed that the models didn't pick up on earlier, Chris?
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well eastern New England, like around Boston, must be having near blizzard conditions right now.
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Wow it's really windy out there! It's whistling and rattling my windows. Boston must have near blizzard conditions right now. Why do these storms always just barely miss us lol.
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Indeed. It snowed quite steadily here from 8 PM to 7 AM. We already had like a quarter of an inch on the ground before that which fell between 2:30 PM and 3:30 PM.
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I think that might have been an early season thing, I saw that there were areas of rain on the north shore early in the evening (like around 8 PM) while it was snowing to beat the band down here. I wrote a post about the timing of the change to snow, tell me if you think this is fairly accurate- where does the UWS fit in here?: 9 AM Staten Island. 10 AM North Shore (Huntington/Oyster Bay) 11 AM Central Park 12 PM Brooklyn 1 PM Queens 1:30-2:30 PM Western Long Island
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More of a mid-late 80s pattern?
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Yes I was really disappointed on the 2nd day of the Dec 2003 storm because I expected a HECS on the level of Jan 1996 and it never got quite that good. It snowed lightly throughout the day and was nothing like the first day of the storm, even though it was much colder. That's when I learned that colder temps dont necessarily mean more snowfall lol. How much did EWR get in total? Anything like the 20 inches across Central Long Island? Does that sort of remind you of the last March 2018 storm that also jackpotted Central Long Island with 20 inches of snow? That Jan 2011 storm was hall of fame worthy because all the snow that fell in the first part of the storm had melted already and we somehow still got to nearly 20" in about 5 hours of snowfall! I remember thundersleet and even a tornado reported just south of Long Island (waterspout) just before the second part got underway, at the tail end of the rush hour. FWIW that might have been actual hail and not thundersleet at the start of the second part of that storm!
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I always forget that late Jan 2011 storm and should have added that to my list. I remember that one also came in two parts, with around 4-5 inches in the first part and another 15 inches in the second part.
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I was thinking something like what we had in December 2003 (which was also in early December) might do it, Farmingdale picked up 20" in that two day storm. Even that storm was touch and go because it was supposed to change to rain on the first day but stayed all snow with the mix line just 5 miles south of us the entire day! It made for some awesome snowfall amounts because being just north of the mix line is ideal. It dropped into the teens the next day with the storm still ongoing but the highest rates shifted east of us to central Long Island. The city ended up with 13-14 inches total with 8 inches on the first day. That was the earliest Blizzard Warning I've ever experienced and we all had a foot plus of snow between the two days.