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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Is this connected to the record heat we have been seeing across the north (Siberia, Canada, Vermont, Maine, Northern NY, etc?)
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of course they are, as are rats, but they weren't as common before humans started dirtying things up. Actually, I dont believe north america had any rats, cats or dogs before they were brought here by boat.
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July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
and what the heck was going on in 1908? two long stretches of 80+ dew points and heat in that summer! -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Hopefully we will have come clear viewing for historic Comet Neowise, which is now a 1st mag object and will make its nearest approach to earth on 7/22. It will be visible in the NW skies about 90 min after sunset from the 14th onwards (prior to that it was in the early dawn sky about 90 min before sunrise in the NE.) -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Yep thats what I have been saying, this is about as "good" of a year for midatlantic and northeast tropical impacts as we have seen in our lifetimes ("good" in quotes obviously because it aint really "good" in human impact terms.) But we also have to look at how this year matches up to 1996 and take note of the fact that an early tropical hit doesn't mean we will get another one later on. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
wow thats shockingly high for NYC, I wonder what the highest DP at JFK was? -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
and none of those summers were particularly hot. Well 2005 at the bottom of the list was very warm, but not hot by 90 degree standards here on the south shore and no 100 degree readings here either. 1996 seems to be a really good match for this summer, first because we got hit by Bertha in early July similar to Fay, and also because of how humid it's been without a large number of 90 degree days. I remember back in May I said that this warm season matches up well to 1996. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
It's really nice out there today, loving this lower humidity and warm temps. -
The steel wool pads are what I'm using to plug up the holes, also thinking of getting FlexSeal which is supposed to be airtight and waterproof, because that can help me for multiple reasons. Why on earth do mice want to come inside anyway, they are pretty afraid of humans and I never actually see them until they're dead. The UV lamp container thing seems to be helping a lot with gnats and mosquitoes and other biting insects, I've seen a huge population reduction of them since I started trapping them in that container. I just have to empty it out once a week because the damn thing fills up quickly. One of these containers is supposed to cover a half acre, I got two of them and I'm getting another one for the inside. Little flying pests fly into the container and never come back out. I wish there was something like this for mice too. I blame most of these pests on humans- mice, cockroaches, mosquitoes, etc., have proliferated ever since humans started creating all this trash and standing water, etc. Have you heard about the swarms of locusts in South America and India? Seems like it's the worst swarm in many decades, a real plague going on in those regions. It's being blamed on excessive rainfall causing a population boom.
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You misunderstood what I wrote, I was talking specifically about rainfall being less to the east of the center. Strongest winds are always to the east of the center, but the point is moot because Sandy wasn't even tropical when it made "landfall." But strongest winds being east of the center is almost always the case, whether it's tropical or not. Like Walt said, the rainfall patterns between Fay and Sandy were very similar; in both cases the heaviest rainfall was in Delaware, because both made "landfall" on the South Jersey Coast. The winds in Sandy on eastern Long Island and New England weren't a "tropical effect" and I wasn't addressing them with that statement. The rains were a "tropical effect" because those rains in Delaware occurred when Sandy was still tropical, the winds on Long Island occurred when it was no longer tropical. I hope that's clear enough for you to understand ;-) And you mentioned Maine, those kinds of winds would NEVER have happened that far north if Sandy was still tropical.
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Thanks Chris! Where were those two 57 mph gusts reported from? I saw one on the central NJ coast in southern Monmouth county (near Manasquan?) and the other one in extreme Southern NJ near Cape May.
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what time did you have your highest winds? It was really windy up here all night I could hear stuff being blown around in my yard most of the night and knocking into stuff (I fell asleep around 2 am and it was still going on even then!)
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49 mph gust at Bridgeport.....is this legit? if so it's the highest wind gust reported at one of our local area official reporting stations.
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July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Walt, on a northerly to northwesterly wind, JFK is actually hotter than either NYC or LGA and more closely matches EWR. In SW Nassau County we are usually hotter than the city on those winds. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
I'm telling ya Chris, the pattern this season has been utterly perfect for tropical systems to hit our area the hardest. This might be the most likely year of our lifetimes for this region to get hit by tropical systems. The heat to our north is a classic blocking pattern that makes that likely (Buffalo 98, second hottest on record, 96 in VT and ME, tied for hottest on record and 99 in Montreal, second hottest on record.). If we were in the area of the higher heat anomalies those tropical systems would be hitting the Carolinas and the SE, but this looks like the year of the MidAtlantic and Northeast. Next year is going to be the year of the big heat for us. -
Thanks- I think St George might be in Staten Island? The name sounds familiar- I've seen it before. The highest winds were on the central and southern NJ coast where there were reports of 57 mph gusts (one in southern Monmouth County and another one in southern NJ near Cape May I think.) On Long Island I think those two 46 mph gusts were the two highest reports, although I saw DMillz mention that he had a 55 mph gust? I dont see that mentioned in any report though.
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I saw a reservoir around here is using a solar powered cleaning system (chemical free) that cleans 100,000 gallons of water a minute, 24/7. No dangerous chemicals needed!
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wear gloves and handle gently! Thats what I did when a bumble bee came inside my house and it didn't sting me!
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why are insects so bold (less afraid) compared to birds? You'd think the smaller the creature the more afraid it should be of human beings. I've always wondered about that. Would diatomaceous earth help with mice too? I've gotten rid of most of them, but I'm not sure they're all gone and I want to be completely rid of them before the cold season comes. The last contractor who worked on my house left a few holes that I've been busy covering up. For the outside, I am using this UV lamp trapping container thing the exterminator recommended as a good nonchemical solution. It traps lots of flying insects (no birds, butterflies, dragonflies, bees, etc.)....so far it's been trapping mosquitoes, gnats, black flies, deer flies, all sorts of detestable pests like that.
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I know about all those problems, I only spray them inside my house, so relax :-) I plant stuff for butterflies and bees and hummingbirds to come, so of course I dont spray anything outside to kill them I just want to know where all these new insects I've never seen before come from. And more importantly, why are so many coming inside my house this year that I haven't seen inside ever before. I think it's because of the mild winter we had. I can't think of any other reason. For the outside, I am using this UV lamp trapping container thing the exterminator recommended as a good nonchemical solution. It traps lots of flying insects (no birds, butterflies, dragonflies, bees, etc.)....so far it's been trapping mosquitoes, gnats, black flies, deer flies, all sorts of detestable pests like that.
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I'm only using them inside for the bugs that come into my house. I know they're toxic because my throat was burning while I was spraying it lol. I have a bunch of stuff I specifically planted for birds, bees, butterflies, hummingbirds and dragonflies and an above ground "pond" where they come to drink water. On second thought, maybe that "pond" is causing more insects to breed, but I dont care, the birds absolutely love it! For the outside, I am using this UV lamp trapping container thing the exterminator recommended as a good nonchemical solution. It traps lots of flying insects (no birds, butterflies, dragonflies, bees, etc.)....so far it's been trapping mosquitoes, gnats, black flies, deer flies, all sorts of detestable pests like that.
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I looked through Walt's numbers and basically from Delaware through SE PA and Southern and South Central NJ up to Ocean County the totals were between 4-7" with the 7" amounts towards the southern end in Delaware. From Monmouth County north to encompass most of the area east to Nassau County the totals were between 2" to 4" with the 4" extreme end confined to the southern part of the area in Monmouth County. Most of our area saw between 2"-3" except for our friends in Suffolk County who sadly only got 0.1-0.5". I didn't see CT numbers but I expect they were also on the lower end, but not as low as Suffolk County, maybe more like 1-2", like around where the lower Hudson Valley ended up. Thanks to that stream of precip that kept going all night in NW areas, my location here in NE PA had around the same 2.50" I got back home in SW Nassau County!
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It kept raining most of the night here, Don, it was actually amazing with all the fireflies out Do you happen to have any figures for MPO? I've been on vacation about halfway between ABE and MPO, coming back tomorrow! It rained all night in NE PA and there were flood warnings all over the area. Based on the rainfall maps Walt posted, looks like I got the same 2.00-2.50 here that I got back at home in Nassau County! Was the maximum official wind gust in our area the 45 mph at JFK?
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It's been stated by a few experts that the winds projected near the center of these systems are hardly ever experienced on land. The usual difference between what's projected and what's actually experienced is about 15% (on average). That also happens to be the average difference between sustained winds and gusts. Looking around, the highest sustained winds experienced on land happen to be around 45 mph. That's close enough to the 15% figure. Also, please recall that the 60 mph sustained winds were projected while the center was still over water- about 25-30 miles offshore. It's actual landfall intensity was 50 mph. So I dont believe there was much of a discrepancy here.
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If you noticed the rainfall and wind patterns with Sandy, there were some similarities with Fay (on a much smaller scale.) Like you said, because of its much smaller size, there wasn't a surge component, but we knew that wasn't going to happen from the beginning. As far as rainfall and wind, the similar tracks the two shared (going into Atlantic City) placed the heaviest rainfall in Delaware in both cases and in both cases the effects were strongest from Nassau County westward. Fay produced about half the rainfall and half the winds that Sandy had (which means in reality it was only 1/4 as strong, and that's before accounting for its much smaller size.) Neither Sandy nor Fay produced as much tropical storm effects from Suffolk County northeastward. I've always maintained that Suffolk County has much more of a New England climate (this holds true both in the winter and summer) and the storms that are most likely to affect them also affect Boston. The storms that affect NYC and Nassau County the strongest belong to a different class altogether- the Midatlantic group- which also affect Delaware and New Jersey. During the 2010s and apparently going right into 2020 we've seen much more of the latter variety. There are many other examples of this (again during both the summer and winter)- Sandy, the Millenium storm you referenced and of course the Snowicane in late February 2010 come to mind immediately. Irene was also part of this pattern and I recall you were in Long Beach for that one. That would have been a better place to be with this one also. I expect this pattern to continue into the future with the much warmer sea surface temps we now have. Now looking forward to hitting 100 degrees later next week in this eventful and perhaps historic summer we have oncoming!