LibertyBell

why cant we have that happen in the summer?

Is this the warmest even for JFK which reached 90 on 10/9/90 and 95 on 10/2 a few years ago?

Rclab are you a fan of math? If you do I have something else for you to read. Octonions, 8 dimensional mathematics that may underlie all of reality. https://www.quantamagazine.org/the-octonion-math-that-could-underpin-physics-20180720/

think Friday is the last widespread 80 degree day?

not a fan of the sun eh

I look forward to the day when humanity ditches its faulty organic bodies and we have forever bodies and the super intelligence to match.

Dr Kaku is one of my favorites! I wish he got more attention than he does- he doesn't get cited nearly enough, he has some excellent papers on string theory on his site. The 0.72 figure was actually an estimate by Carl Sagan. I wonder if progress is linear or maybe we have digressed since he made that estimate? A variety of factors were used to calculate it and I don't think it's a slam dunk that the only way to go is up. Phase 1 would involve harnessing the full power of the sun, being able to precisely control the climate and weather and some other properties we aren't anywhere near. The oligarchies and the general problem of power and wealth concentrated in a very few is a major problem and the main reason we don't see progress. The only way I see out of it is a revolution and a very violent one at that. I see that in humanity's future in this century and with easy accessibility to weapons of mass destruction no matter what governments try to do to abridge rights (or perhaps because of it), I feel it is inevitable. The fact that people are in denial about the accelerating mass extinction event shows how ignorant humanity is. It started along with the industrial revolution and has only accelerated since then. I still believe a Foundation like scenario is the only way out-- instead of trying to save everyone hard choices will have to be made and only the best and brightest will be able to be saved (let's leave the oligarchy out of it, we should save only those who make big positive contributions to society, not to their own wallets.) The mass extinction event is like a tipping point or phase transition, it happens "quietly" in the background-- until it doesn't! Eventually a critical point is reached and by then it's too late and all the dominoes will fall (including humanity). Humanity is part of the environment and what we do to it we do to ourselves. The complacence caused by technology and the fossil fuel cartels which dumb down humanity with their propaganda is definitely like an addictive drug and the awakening will be rude when people have no choice but to awaken from their stupor. The Fermi Paradox with the Great Filter lying ahead of us is the only outcome that makes sense to me in this context. Since you brought up fractals, which I love (I see fractals in all aspects of nature and humanity is part of nature so.....), I was wondering if you read the classic sci fi story Past, Present and Future. I think you would love it, it touches on many of these points and the peak of humanity's original thinking which actually occurred during the days of the ancient Greeks according to some. It's available for free download in various formats here https://www.fadedpage.com/showbook.php?pid=20170467

We're not Kardashev level one- we are at around 0.72. I imagine what we are going through now is childsplay compared to the upheaval that will occur when we are on the threshold of being a Level 1- if we even make it to that point. Probably around 2100 as you say and I do envision a Post-Matrix reality like you described. People must learn to think for themselves and live without relying on the pollution causing framework that's been a characteristic of the 20th century. Truer words were never written or spoken: "The only winning move is, not to play."

Loved that this happened https://twitter.com/i/events/1446527968159969284 Yesterday The U.N. declares access to a clean environment a human right 'This has life-changing potential in a world where the global environmental crisis causes more than nine million premature deaths every year,' said David Boyd, U.N. special rapporteur on human rights and the environment. The US UK China India didn't want this, but they are the major polluters of the planet so they have a major conflict of interest and they got voted down by the rest of the planet!

I guess tropical season is winding down, Tony- nothing showing up in the next couple of weeks at least?

in November 1993 it happened on November 15th, the day after the marathon. Earlier that month we had had extensive and widespread freezes in the first few days of November (temps in the upper 20s here with thick frost.) I forecasted a big winter that year because I saw a connection between hot summers and early cold falls with a big thaw in the middle of November and cold and snowy winters. It was 6/6 since 1950 with the last time it happening being in 1977 until 1993 showed up.

yep we're adjusting, but I can tell you this-- even back in the early 90s I didn't enjoy highs in the mid 50s and lows in the lower 40s which we seemed to get every year somewhere in the first half of October. I was shivering and my parents had a hard and fast rule back then to never turn on the heat no matter how cold it was, before October 15th (I'm not sure why they picked that date.)

it's a pretty inexact science and it seems like where the mixing line is going to be is one of the more inexact aspects of it. I've learned that when they expect the mixing line to be in Monmouth county to expect it to reach the southern parts of LI 90% of the time.

40s at night with windows open would make me shiver all night! Even low 50s at night is too cool for me. Let's keep the cold weather away until November when we turn our heat on.

I heard that Newark hit 80 yesterday

Yeah and it's just as well, the really short days dont kick in until November anyway

This is a good thing right? I hate shivering in October

chilly or cold weather isn't coming before early November, the models rush pattern changes, we're probably good through at least Halloween

cool weather will come after Halloween, probably not before

either douse the entire area with pesticides or chop the trees down and make the bugs starve. we need to do one or the other

why dont we just chop these trees down and make the bugs starve to death?

whats the reluctance with killing these things with pesticides? I dont care, fly crop dusters over us for all I care and tell people to stay inside

our higher snowfall totals and larger storms are direct results of more juiced up systems plus a storm track that used to be further south and hitting DC now hitting us. I distinctly remember a large number of storms back in the 80s that would hit DC with snow and spare us- these often happened in January. Now we get some of our biggest snows in January, this was not the case before, January used to be colder and drier even during our snowless 80s winters.

Yes! Best day of the week!

All I can say is I would never live there.