LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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RDPS model?
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Nice it has 20 inches here, but it's 78 hours out lol.
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I think 6-10 sounds reasonable for NYC and Western Long Island.
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Those were both around 30" for settled depth weren't they? -
It's honestly the only way to compare historic storms from previous decades. Some people say that snowfall averages have increased because of the way we measure snowfall now (I only think that's partially true-- other factors are at play, like a warmer Atlantic and the slowing down of the Gulf Stream, etc.)
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your greatest measured storm of all time, Ray?
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I see so that was similar to PD2 and Jan 2016....our biggest snows seem to come from storms like that.
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well the amounts are somewhat cut back for my specific part of SW Nassau I went from 10" to 7"
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Everything old is new again. Seems like ages ago from that initial run lol.
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The Three Stooges lol. The Euro needs to give them all the eye poke
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I love all the colors and the fact that they're right side up
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lol at snowman weenieing all these posts, he's in a frenzy tonight
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the state of meteorology just sucks, no wonder the public doesn't believe anything related to meteorology or climate lol
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as in it could even be a nowcast bust (positive or negative)
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it would be comical if there was a "division by zero" error buried deep in the algorithms of one or more of these models lol. Probably much more complex errors than that, but you get the picture.
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yes a true nowcast event....we remember all the busts but there have been a few positive surprises too
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similarities to the great Jan 1996?
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Exactly what I just said. I am extremely doubtful of any forecasts for this because of minute changes resulting in a huge difference....this could be a true nowcast event. What is the average model error day of the event? 10 miles? That might be enough to cause a big difference in the final result.
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Little changes have a big impact, I would be extremely doubtful of any model forecast, this might end up being a true nowcast event.
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but the final outcome is very similar, so now we have a variety of ways to get the same outcome 1-3 NW, 3-6 NYC, 6-12 Long Island
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lol different way to get there, but the ultimate solution is the same. At this point I think it's safe to forecast 3-6 for the city and 6-12 for Long Island going west to east....a variety of ways to get there. 1-3 NW of Newark
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so this is option number 4? I thought closing off south was supposed to be a good thing lol
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Must be a NAM run from an alternate universe lol
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it's all a ploy for ratings lol
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thanks, it sounds exactly like a tidal wave the way I picture it in my mind, when the tide flows it carries material to the shore, when it ebbs it doesn't
