LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Bigger question is, can we catch 1932? What happened that year to make January so warm? And the climate was much colder back then.
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Yes, if you use the data from the 1870s through the 1920s or so, NYC consistently averaged over 30 inches of snow every decade, and that was using the old way of measuring snow which did not account for compaction.
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This is no surprise, outside of that little bubble in late December temperatures have been consistently verifying as warmer than forecast. It's why I was dead certain days ago that NYC would get O or a T from this.
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But more than a few days ago, even when he and a bunch of other guys were saying NYC would get measurable snow today, I was dead certain why it wouldn't happen and I gave reasons. So if he has a bias, he didn't have it for this storm, because I was expecting even less snow than he was.
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No one can control the weather so I don't believe any bias really matters.
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01-02 was on par I think
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I can't wait until it hits 100+ this summer multiple days in a row and these same people start whining about it.
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I don't know why some people act like it hasn't snowed in 30 years. Honestly we've had plenty of snow over the last 2 decades. You don't need it every year.
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I didn't even have cable TV growing up (didn't care for it either.)
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You may not believe it but people actually wondered if you were okay when you weren't posting for awhile when the snowless pattern first became clear to people.
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It was much more like an el nino though with the California record rains
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Sell these redneck states to Cuba and Mexico and be done with them. -
What that does is create a pattern where you have to depend on one storm for most of your snow, a la 2015-16 or to a lesser extent last winter.
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I love new paradigms (including in science), they force quick changes and revolutions, they're really a good thing because humans are prone to social inertia and resistance to change. Read what Kuhn had to say on new paradigms.
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at this point you can't ignore what is going on in the rest of the world, this isn't an "unlucky" winter, it's happening all over the world.
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Hey thanks for that. I downloaded that PDF! Now I have something for you-- I read this earlier today, and wow, it's amazing how deadly the poisonous gases from volcanoes can be even when they're not erupting! https://getpocket.com/explore/item/the-history-and-mystery-of-russia-s-valley-of-death?utm_source=pocket-newtab
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It looks like feast or famine winters are more common and the type of winter that might be most common would be one big snowstorm and the rest of the winter is mild.
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I've seen this SE Ridge hang around regardless of the pattern. Weak el nino is actually better for New England, might need a high end moderate to strong here to make the SE Ridge a plus by hitting it with arctic air a la PD2 or Jan 2016 or Feb 1983.
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It seems to be, it's been doing this in the summer too. I think going forward ENSO will matter much less as these warm NW Atlantic waters will create a permanent SE Ridge near our area.
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I wonder how much these offensively warm NW Atlantic waters have to do with the RRSER (ridiculously resilient southeast ridge) and the stoppage of cold air reaching the east coast.
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and the forecast temps for tomorrow have gone up
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We see these stronger bermuda ridges in el ninos now too, not only that but we are seeing them every summer now taking the heat further north into new england and SE canada. It's disappointing to me because that means less heat for us on Long Island
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this definitely is an 80s type hostile Pacific Back then it would get cold in between rainstorms...the only frozen I remember most years was frozen puddles lol.
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The problem is the modeling always seems to be good when it shows no snow....why is that I wonder?
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Your puppy came home...did he get lost before that? That's rough man.
