sometimes they do
February 1978 was forecast a week in advance on 70s technology that's like going to the moon on 60s technology lol.
February 1983 was forecast in advance.
March 1993 was also forecast well in advance
January 1996 was forecast in advance.
PD2 was also forecast well in advance.
Obviously the tracks nudged north/west but the signals for all of the above were there well in advance.
everything was nicely treated here so the roads are only wet as are the sidewalks and driveways, the snow has only accumulated on natural terrain (grass, trees, bushes, etc.) as well as rooftops and cartops.
took a long time to get up there, our first flakes started at 9:44 am but only just started to accumulate (we have a light dusting in spots), it's a very light snow but very consistent.
snowing here since 9:44 am (yes I managed to see the first flakes fall lol) but nothing has stuck here until now-- now we do have a light dusting in places, it's been very light snow.
might be those SST anomalies and marine heatwaves at work to speed up the northern stream.
A super el nino would probably upend this entire awful pattern.
did we ever figure out why the block was so strong in 2009-10 and 2010-11 and is that cyclic or a one off? The interesting thing is we've had very strong blocks before that did not pay off with a lot of snow....
Yes, I think JFK capitalized because it was closest to that west to east band of heavy snow, got a surprise 6 inch snowstorm here.
But that fast pac flow might be the reason this area runs into multiyear snow droughts even when there's an el nino. It explains the 80s. Do we need a super strong el nino to neutralize the Pacific Jet?
that middle storm in January also buried central Long Island with up 20 inches of snow. Some place out there probably got three 20"+ snowstorms in 10-11.