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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    yup and south of there it changes over in southern Virginia.
  2. LibertyBell
    took a long time to get up there, our first flakes started at 9:44 am but only just started to accumulate (we have a light dusting in spots), it's a very light snow but very consistent.
  3. LibertyBell
    it actually mixed with sleet in DC and changed over completely to freezing rain in Richmond.
  4. LibertyBell
    snowing here since 9:44 am (yes I managed to see the first flakes fall lol) but nothing has stuck here until now-- now we do have a light dusting in places, it's been very light snow.
  5. LibertyBell
    might be those SST anomalies and marine heatwaves at work to speed up the northern stream. A super el nino would probably upend this entire awful pattern.
  6. LibertyBell
    did we ever figure out why the block was so strong in 2009-10 and 2010-11 and is that cyclic or a one off? The interesting thing is we've had very strong blocks before that did not pay off with a lot of snow....
  7. LibertyBell
    might as well stick 88-89 and 89-90 in the analog list lol
  8. LibertyBell
    that's the way it works, the snow shield will be northwest to southeast.
  9. LibertyBell
    the further west you go, the further north the snow will be, suppression increases to the east.
  10. LibertyBell
    less than an inch is what the forecast was.
  11. LibertyBell
    Looks like the snow made it north to Mt Pocono too!
  12. LibertyBell
    that was our virga year, just cloudy and cold here and no snow
  13. LibertyBell
    well they did get Soto....
  14. LibertyBell
    Yes, I think JFK capitalized because it was closest to that west to east band of heavy snow, got a surprise 6 inch snowstorm here. But that fast pac flow might be the reason this area runs into multiyear snow droughts even when there's an el nino. It explains the 80s. Do we need a super strong el nino to neutralize the Pacific Jet?
  15. LibertyBell
    and also running out of salt lol. We were all caught off guard by that winter.
  16. LibertyBell
    that middle storm in January also buried central Long Island with up 20 inches of snow. Some place out there probably got three 20"+ snowstorms in 10-11.
  17. LibertyBell
    They were about the same here snowfall total wise both a little over 50" We had back to back great winters like that again in 2013-14 and 2014-15.
  18. LibertyBell
    02-03 is right up there too
  19. LibertyBell
    I remember Tombo did the forecasts for both Philly and NYC back then, he would do PBP on model runs.
  20. LibertyBell
    I think we'll have more chances if one of these actually hits us. In my experience snow begets more snow. A feedback mechanism.
  21. LibertyBell
    That's right and the other thing that stands out about 03-04 was the early December blizzard (our earliest blizzard) that lasted two days and where the rain/snow line was like 5 miles south of us on the first day of the storm lol.
  22. LibertyBell
    Normally we would still see snowy la ninas if they came right after an el nino because the subtropical jet would still be there (a la 95-96 and 10-11) but last year's el nino didn't have a normal el nino subtropical jet either.
  23. LibertyBell
    and then there are the rare *hook and ladder* stemwinder kind of storms..... do you remember these, JM? They seem to have become more rare now..... in these, DC through PHL gets hit hard and BOS also gets hit hard but NYC gets a minimal amount of snow. I think Vet's Day 1987 was this kind of storm? If there's a more recent example I don't remember, maybe January 1999?
  24. LibertyBell
    We tried to figure it out a few years ago when it last happened and I believe we concluded that the pattern needs a few weeks to recover and by the time it does December is done.
  25. LibertyBell
    I think 03-04 was a special winter because it was one of the rare NYC winters, it wasn't particularly great north or south of us. Was that the winter when NYC got more snow than either Boston or Worcester or am I thinking of a different one? Us being tucked into the coast also makes us somewhat different from southern NE. Eastern Suffolk county has more of a southern NE type of winter climate.
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