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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    This is GREAT-- I always LOVE these charts!!
  2. LibertyBell
    I feel dejavu with his annual threads, since they seem to be the same every season.
  3. LibertyBell
    Yep and we can also add in 1982-83 and 2015-16 as big dog analogs for what can happen in late January or February with a juiced up STJ timed right with an arctic shot at the most favorable time of year for snowfall.
  4. LibertyBell
    what about for February?
  5. LibertyBell
    too close to the water, there was no way they were going to get 6+
  6. LibertyBell
    in 1994 NYC got to 0 on two separate arctic shots, I believe that's the first time that happened since the 1940s and of course it has not happened since. 3 total lows of 0 and below also the first time since the 1940s.
  7. LibertyBell
    It could be next year if not this year, la ninas after el ninos are really good too.
  8. LibertyBell
    Not only did it not end in December, it didn't even start in December lol
  9. LibertyBell
    it was a foot of snow as soon as you got to Brooklyn and Queens
  10. LibertyBell
    I see it's still snowing lightly at the Giants game as they beat up on the Eagles lol.
  11. LibertyBell
    34 inches?! where?
  12. LibertyBell
    Because of the very cold Januarys
  13. LibertyBell
    Have the hope that in spite of what the 80s were like 82-83 still happened and February was the best snowstorm we had between 1978 and 1996! In both 1982-83 and 2015-16 the south shore of Long Island had over 20 inch HECS! As a matter of fact JFK has had most of its 20"+ snowstorms during moderate and strong or very strong el ninos. (February 1983, 2003 PD2, January 2016). The other ones were in February 1961, February 1969, January 1996. So 6 total 20"+ snowstorms going back to 1960 at JFK and half of them were in moderate or strong or very strong el ninos. Every decade had at least 1 20"+ HECS at JFK (and the 60s had 2!) except the 70s (and many will tell you that the February 1978 HECS was grossly undermeasured at JFK at 14"-- when a nearby co-op in SW Nassau recorded 22" in that blizzard!)
  14. LibertyBell
    Don do you think it's likely that February will be the coldest month this winter season? January at +0.7 will be much colder than December was and the February mean is only slightly milder than January, so it wouldn't take much for February to be colder than January.
  15. LibertyBell
    I'm looking forward to the end of January through February period, I think that will be the best wintry period we've seen in 3 years (not saying much I know.) But imagine with temperatures just slightly colder than they were with this storm and with the same juiced up STJ, then 1982-83 and 2015-16 become good analogs for what can happen.
  16. LibertyBell
    How does this compare to the OV bomb in January 1978 (I know that was a weak el nino but it was a second year el nino.)
  17. LibertyBell
    October 2011 was a nice surprise here with 1.5" any accumulation in October is historic-- just like an accumulating May snowfall would be. Another one was November 2012 which dropped 8 inches here, much less on the north shore. LGA had white rain while we had tree branches falling on the roads from the weight of the heavy wet snow (compounding the devastation from Sandy.)
  18. LibertyBell
    the key with March (especially after the first week of March) is being away from urban heat island (which is pretty strong in Nassau County).
  19. LibertyBell
    we just had some flakes here and there today, the radar was much more bark than bite. Yesterday afternoon into early evening was a nice surprise. You got 1" in Lynbrook yesterday? WOW
  20. LibertyBell
    I was just going to say, there was a nice area of a foot plus from NE PA across NW NJ and into the Hudson Valley and then interior SNE. 3-4 inches per hour for 2-3 hours too. This is the kind of storm that portends well for late January through February for the coastal plain at the climo peak of snowfall season and a juiced up el nino STJ, Ray!
  21. LibertyBell
    really lost it there huh? lmao
  22. LibertyBell
    it was a flake here and there, not like what the radar depicted
  23. LibertyBell
    Yes we got our arctic shots with dry weather and when precip moved in it rapidly warmed up.... similar to what's happened the last few years.
  24. LibertyBell
    Januarys were much colder than they are now and Februarys were exceptionally mild. Looking at that decade we had several Januarys in a row where the average temperature was in the mid to upper 20s.
  25. LibertyBell
    I remember when this was said back in December 2022 also ;-)
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