psv88

1 minute ago, NutleyBlizzard said:

Nam thumps parts of the area with 6”+.

 

 

 

 

 

Pretty rainy for LI. I’m ok with it, have dinner plans 

28/14 and flurries 

30 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Flurries here in Oceanside. 

Why do to spend all the snowstorms on the south shore lol

15 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

NAM and RGEM have consistently shown that freezing rain risk after about 9 am or so, but the globals either have all snow for 95 or a later changover to sleet or freezing rain. Freezing rain sucks, as it's dangerous and aesthetically unpleasing. Saving grace could be that it'll mostly be falling on top of snow, forming a crust and not falling on bare ground forming ice rinks.  It also could rob many of us along 95 and even a bit NW/SE of 95 of 0.1-0.2" QPF (or 1-2" of snow), which would also suck.  Hopefully the Euro is right on this.  Thoughts on how this might play out?  

 

That’s ugly, yikes 

Interesting. Upton sees Suffolk all the way to Nassau border going to plain rain for 7 hours. Not sure any model has that. It also increased some amounts to 3.5 or so for western Suffolk. Will be interesting to see. I doubt we hit the forecast high of 38. Temp busted low today as well

4 minutes ago, bkviking said:

Just got WWA for north Suffolk county 

Makes sense with the ice 

11 minutes ago, cannoliman42 said:

Near a quarter inch of freezing rain for parts of LI and SNE. Could get nasty.

Yet no WWA for Suffolk. I would assume that changes soon

40 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

We're lucky there's so much precip before the warm air really arrives. Hopefully when that happens most of the storm is over. But regardless it's so hilarious to see another of these late big amped/NW pushes, which makes sense since we don't have any blocking to force a good track and the mean trough is so far west. The easterly winds will warm us up for a time east of the city. It can be as cold as it wants now but that wind shift warms us right up. But it will be brief. 

We’ll have a nice all snow event Friday. All good. 

3 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

I’m unemployed till January 29th. So. Maybe I’ll drive to Montauk if that’s the case. Maybe Jim cantore will be there 

Long way to go. So far this looks like a nice event for us. Cold, storm well offshore and plenty of room for it to come west. 

29/9, so this is a nice airmass for a change. Fridays airmass even better. 
 

we winter 

Eastern Suffolk may get a nice storm on Friday. This one of those where Montauk gets 8 inches and the rest of the island 2-4”.

william Floyd parkway special 

Just now, WestBabylonWeather said:

I’m close to the Nassau border so hopefully I do ok 

All of Suffolk west of the forks will get at least an inch. I think you mix with rain for a bit, and I get some sleet/ice here

11 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

NWS decided to leave Suffolk county out of the WWA 

 NW Suffolk should be in WWA in my opinion but the criteria is 3” of snow so I get it. 

Just now, Rmine1 said:

Congrats to all under a WWA. Bubkis out here in the tropics. I got called out for calling for mostly snain for the immediate coast, and lo and behold….,

You’re going to get snow stop. Maybe take a break from posting or post in banter?

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Still a question of where that banding shows up. Other Hi-res modeling like the HRRR introduce more warm air and have the best snow NW of the city which is still quite possible. Models all do have at least 1-2” though so the ground will be white at least. 

Sucks we will mix but I think Friday delivers the goods for the city and east. Solid ensemble support now. Friday our chance for a 4+ storm.

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs

We take 

Buffalo also had a deadly blizzard last year and many people died. Yea died. I’m ok with them pushing back the game one day. 

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

54 mph seems to be the peak gust so far on Long Island.

 

Matinecock Pt    N/A     39 N/A N/A SW44G54   

Always loved the name of that town…

Nice snow shower now. 38 degrees though 

43 minutes ago, Rjay said:

It could be

Started as snow. It’s 41 though 

44 here. Won’t be snow 

34 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

@bluewave does this also… 

Its a awful model imo 

Yea its a bad model. Maybe it has some use that pro Mets know about though. 

4 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Its the GFS.  Please incorporate Canadian into the thinking.  A period of snow yes... snowstorm too soon to know for me. 

Hi Walt. Just a question. Why do you lean on the Canadian so much? Doesn’t it have the lowest verification scores of all the main globals?

Made it to 59. 

Can tell the front is nearby. Winds howling. Saw 2 yellow jackets and a mosquito just now. 
 

Was 59 this date in 2019, up to 58 now but I don’t think we’ll get to 59